The playoff round gets set to begin for the U18 World Champs after a day off. Here's what you can likely expect:
Finland vs. Germany
The winner of this game gets to play Sweden in the semifinals. Germany is a bit of a surprise to have made it this far, and on paper this looks like it could be an easy win for Finland. But Germany is anything but an easy opponent. Germany is well coached by Jim Setters and has a versatile lineup with capable goaltending. They have shown good discipline, work ethic and commitment to their gameplans. Finland has some potent offensive talent and some good strong physical forecheckers. The Finns biggest asset is their powerplay which has created relentless scoring chances for them every game except their first. This game will likely come down to special teams. If Germany can stay out of the box they can likely keep the score tight and compete, possibly even upset the Finns but if they give the Finns any space, the Finns are tough to stop once they get running.
Key Players
Finland: Teuvo Teravainen, Ville Pokka, Sasha Barkov
Germany: Leon Draisaitl, Marcel Kurth, Marvin Cupper
Prediction: Finland pulls out a 6-3 win but the game is closer than the score indicates. (How can you bet against a Finland vs. Sweden semifinal?)
Canada vs. Russia
The winner of this match of bitter rivals gets another bitter rival in the USA as a semifinal opponent. Russia does not play like the stereotypical Russian entries in past years of this tournament. They have a gritty, well rounded team that plays hard in both directions but also boasts some extremely dangerous offensive talent. Canada has a similar team, with a bit more grit but not as much offensive firepower. This game could come down to which team can figure out the opposition goaltending first. Both Russia's Vasilevski and Canada's Murray have been strong so far in the event but have both also given up some goals they probably shouldn't have. If that happens in this game, it could prove costly. Canada will need to attempt to work down the Russian defence and get pucks to the net front. This is where Kerby Rychel, Scott Laughton and Hunter Shinkaruk come in. All three will need to be on and winning battles down low for Canada to optimize their chances for victory. Russia has great speed and creativity. If they can push Canada's defence low and get some good shots from motion they will improve their chances of winning dramatically. This game has potential to be a hard battle or an all out run and gun shootout.
Key Players
Canada: Matt Dumba, Brendan Gaunce, Hunter Shinkaruk
Russia: Valeri Nichushkin, Bogdan Yakimov, Anto Slepyshev
Prediction: Canada gets their rematch with the US with a 4-3 win.
(Don't forget to catch this game on TSN in Canada or on fasthockey.com)
Showing posts with label U18 World Championship. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U18 World Championship. Show all posts
Wednesday, 18 April 2012
Sunday, 8 April 2012
U18 Predictions
The Under-18 World Championship kicks off Thursday, April 12th but teams begin their exhibition schedules this weekend. Here is a look ahead, some players to watch and some "bold" predictions on how the event could unfold:
Canada – Always an interesting blend of talent from teams no longer participating in the CHL playoffs, Canada is hit or miss at this event. The team should be deep and hard working with strong mobile defense and quality competitive goaltenders. Canada has assembled a strong roster that should be able to compete with all teams during the tournament and while lacking a lot of star power up front the group they have should build strong chemistry and rely on a score by committee strategy that could take them very far.
Prediction – Gold
Prospect to Watch: Matt Dumba – A potential top 5 pick in this year’s NHL draft, Dumba captained the Canadian U18 team to victory at this past summer’s Ivan Hlinka Memorial and will look for a repeat performance. A very dynamic and explosive defender, Dumba can dominate the ice with his physical play but is also a very exciting offensive player as well. Watch for Canada to rely on his massive one timers from the point on the PP.
Keep an eye on: Sam Reinhart – Reinhart is the youngest of the 3 sons of former NHLer Paul Reinhart. Reinhart was one of the youngest players in Canadian Major Junior hockey this season but still managed to score at a near point per game pace and should take home the WHL rookie of the year award. He is not eligible for the NHL draft until 2014 and is already projected at being a top pick.
Czech Republic – Their marquee talent, Radek Faksa remains entrenched in the CHL playoffs with Kitchener and is likely not going to be available for this tournament (barring a quick exit and recovery from a concussion sustained in round 1). The Czechs have some skill up front and some very good puck moving defenders. In goal, Marek Langhamer is capable of stealing some wins. Depth is what holds the Czechs back right now, but expect them to matchup surprisingly well with just about everyone.
Prediction – 6th
Player to Watch: Petr Sidlik – A slick and intelligent defender, Sidlik has great instincts and while not overly blessed in the size department he is very good at breaking up plays and starting his own. Sidlik should anchor a decent defensive group for the Czechs that also includes promising 95 born defender Jan Kostalek. Sidlik should devour ice time for the Czechs and will be a major reason for any success they achieve during this event.
Keep an eye on: Martin Prochazka – He has great size, protects the puck well and can be near impossible to intimidate physically. Prochazka isn’t always the most consistent player but when he’s on he is a very appealing power forward. A strong performance at this event would help him showcase his very good pro-potential.
Denmark – A consistently improving program, this tournament is another great step in the right direction for Danish hockey. They continue to produce well rounded rosters with more and more top level talent. Denmark is doing a lot right with their hockey program but will continue to require patience as they aren’t quite ready to solidify their top group status at this level. Expect them to go to the wire with a competitive Latvian team for relegation.
Prediction – 10th - relegation
Player to Watch: Oliver Bjorkstrand - A 1995 birthdate, Bjorkstrand has been a mainstay with the U20 team this year and has produced goals at that level as well as in Denmark’s top men’s league. He will be heavily relied on to produce offensive chances for the Danes if they have any hope of being competitive and avoiding relegation. Speedy and dynamic, he has NHL draft potential for next season and continues to show strong development.
Keep an eye on: Mads Eller and Bjorn Udall – Udall is a very underrated and unheralded blueliner. He has good size, moves well and can add some offensive kick from the backend. He should see heavy minutes for the Danes and be relied on in all situations. He will, however, need to put on a serious show to solidify any thought of him being an NHL draft pick at this point. That being said, he is talented and developing very well making him worth a long hard look. Eller is a 95 born player, and is the younger brother of Montreal forward Lars.
Finland – Finland is in an interesting predicament. They are loaded with young talent and could put together a very competitive team. The problem is some of their young stars are playing for teams that remain in league playoff battles. Olli Maatta (London Knights) and Teuvo Teravainen (Jokerit) both look set for long playoff runs with their club teams, meaning they will not be made available for the tournament. Finland remains a country with tremendous depth of talent though and should still provide a stern challenge for the medals.
Prediction – 5th
Player to Watch: Rasmus Ristolainen – An October 1994 birthdate, Ristolainen isn’t eligible to be drafted until next year, but would garner a lot of consideration if he were eligible this year. He’s a very intelligent and physical defender who plays the game with the maturity of a man several grizzled years his elder. He has good offensive upside as well and along with Ville Pokka should run the backend for the Finns.
Keep an eye on: Sasha Barkov – Another tremendously talented Finn, Barkov became the youngest player to score a goal at the World Junior Championships in December. Not eligible until 2013, Barkov is a top 10 talent at this point and could even be considered as a top pick candidate. Already playing against men, Barkov is a dynamic and powerful and should be one of the focal points of the Finnish attack, especially if Teravainen isn’t made available to join.
Germany – The German program continues to grow and while still not able to get over the hump of the elite teams, the IIHF’s new relegation scenarios should prove a major benefit to Germany who suffered years of up and down promotions and relegations. This year’s crop should be competitive, well coached and versatile but should also give glimpses into the bright future of German ice hockey. The 1995 crop of German players has shown a lot of promise for a program that will start to reap the benefits of consistency moving forward.
Prediction – 8th
Player to Watch: Marvin Cupper – Cupper was magnificent for Germany last year during this event and was the major reason Germany was able to compete with the top teams while hosting this event last year. A bit undersized, Cupper is deceptively athletic and quick. His technique is very strong and he plays a very aggressive and challenging style. Felix Potvin comes to mind when watching the young German netminder. He is an underrated netminder who will need some more grooming but his development path has proved very strong.
Keep an eye on: Leon Draisaitl – A late 95 born power forward in the making, Draisaitl is one of the most exciting German prospects in years. He’s a good skater who plays a high tempo style game and can bring a bit of an edge at times as well. He has excellent scoring potential and if he can continue to show good work ethic in his development he could prove to be a serious top prospect in 2014.
Latvia – Latvia suffers greatly from not having Zemgus Girgensons available for this tournament as he remains committed to his USHL club as their season continues. There is still reason for optimism for the Latvian’s though as three of their U20 top scorers are eligible to play in this tournament as well. Teddy Blueger, Nikita Jevpalovs and Robert Lipsbergs should make a up a more than capable top line for the Latvian’s, but will have to be on overdrive to push the Latvian’s out of the bottom group. Overall their program seems to be on the up, but it’s still not enough. Expect them to battle it out with Denmark for relegation.
Prediction – 9th
Player to Watch: Teddy Blueger – Teddy as he’s known when he suits up for Shattuck St. Mary’s, or Teodors his true Latvian name, is an intelligent and opportunistic two-way forward. He prefers to be an offensive contributor and should be relied on in that role during this tournament but his draft appeal lies on his ability to play against top players from other countries and not only score but keep them in check as well. Projected as a later pick for the draft, this is a big tournament for Blueger and he needs to perform well (not just number-wise) to justify the hype around him. Blueger is no stranger to some of the competition having played at Shattuck with players like Nathan MacKinnon and Oscar Dansk.
Keep an eye on: Rihards Bukarts – This kid isn’t eligible to be drafted until 2014 (December 31, 1995 birth date) but already has shown a nice blend of size, skill and work ethic worthy of note. As one of the youngest players in the tournament, Bukarts will likely find himself in a secondary offensive role which should allow him to find some success and showcase his abilities.
Russia – No Yakupov, no Grigorenko....no problem, Russia has a wealth of young talent that can electrify, impress and compete. Surely they will miss their top stars (Grigorenko still in CHL playoffs, Yakupov a late 93 who is too old this year) but they have plenty of offensive depth and young stars that have shown well internationally. Chances get a serious boost if Quebec has a quick exit from CHL playoffs in round 2, but that seems unlikely.
Prediction – 4th
Player to Watch: Andrei Vasilevski – The highly touted Russian netminder is about as much of a veteran of this tournament as one could possibly be. Entering his 3rd U18 championship as Russia’s starter, Vasilevski is still riding the high his WJC performance afforded him. A big and confident goaltender, Vasilevski needs to assert himself one more time as he battles with Oscar Dansk and Malcom Subban as the potential top goaltending prospect for this year’s draft.
Keep an eye on: Valeriy Nichuschkin and Bogdan Yakimov – Russia continues to produce superior offensive talents and both Nichuschkin and Yakimov fit that mould. Both have been excellent contributor’s with Russia’s U18 program all year long, and while neither is eligible for the NHL draft until 2013, they should be the muscle in Russia’s offensive punch, filling the void of the aforementioned stars who can’t participate.
Sweden – On paper, Sweden looks stacked. They have high end talent and reliable depth at every position. They boast a plethora of potential top round NHL draft picks over the next couple of drafts and should prove to be a formidable opponent for all who stand in their way. If anything their one downfall will be how they react to playing high energy, physical and gritty opponents like Canada and the US. If Sweden can keep opponents from dictating the pace, tempo and style of games they play, they could potentially walk through this tournament.
Prediction – Silver
Player to Watch: Oscar Dansk – Sweden has a very deep roster, riddled with talent and potential high end picks, but the success of their team will fall on the shoulders of Dansk. Dansk is, in my opinion, the best and most underrated goaltending prospect available for this year’s draft but not everyone is on board with that idea. If Dansk can showcase his abilities and potential and lead this very capable Swedish team to a top 2 finish, you can bet his stock will start to ease into the realm that it truly belongs. Dansk has good size, great focus and excellent athleticism.
Keep an eye on: Calle Andersson – Forsberg, Bystrom and Collberg are all likely first or at least early second round picks this year, but Andersson is truly interesting. He’s not far off the abilities of Bystrom and could push his way up the draft charts with a strong performance during this tournament.
Switzerland – In recent years the Swiss have boasted rosters sprinkled with supreme talents such as Nino Niederreiter and Sven Baertschi. This year’s squad doesn’t necessarily have that benefit, however it may be a roster with more depth than years past. Switzerland will likely be the most mysterious team in this tournament and their final standing in this event could come down to how the bounces fall.
Prediction – 7th
Player to Watch: Christoph Bertschy – Bertschy saw major minutes in crucial situations for the Swiss U20 team at the WJC and there is no reason that he won’t be in a similar situation in this event. He is an offensive presence that tends to sway more towards finisher than playmaker but he does have some playmaking talent as well. The name of Bertschy’s game is creation, as very few players find themselves with as many scoring chances as he does. Switzerland’s result in this tournament could be a direct result of how Bertschy executes in those situations he creates.
Keep an eye on: Phil Baltisberger – Another late 95 with tons of potential, Baltisberger was a member of Switzerland’s WJC team this past December/January and while he did not see a ton of ice time, his appeal was obvious with minimal evaluation required. A big mobile and strong defender, Baltisberger has a great head for the game, can fire the puck but is most valuable because of his quick and reliable thinking in all situations.
USA – The US has dominated this event over the past decade and always seems to be the favorite coming in, however this year that’s not the case. The US will once again ice a very competitive and talented team but on paper they fail to match up to years past and with the other top nations at this event. The US will find most of their success starts with their very deep stable of defenders. Trouba, Jones and Skjei will log huge minutes and will have to be on top of their games to push this team back towards glory. All that being said, expect surprise performances from their forward group and a tight battle in the top 5 teams for the US.
Prediction – Bronze
Player to Watch: Jacob Trouba - Considered one of the top defensive prospects for this year’s NHL draft, the competition is tight to see who will be the first defender chosen. Trouba is well in that mix. A strong mix of size, grit and skill, Trouba leads a strong American defensive unit that will be relied on heavily if the US is going to challenge for top spot in this event and has an excellent opportunity here to solidify himself as the most valuable draft eligible defender heading into the draft.
Keep an eye on: Seth Jones - Jones is another prospect to keep an eye on, he will also anchor the US blueline and is a potential 1st overall candidate for next year. He has tremendous size and proves to be tremendously athletic (as would be expected from the son of a former NBA star). He plays a very calculated game and can be dominant in all three zones on the ice. He has the potential to win the top defenseman award at this event (on paper he will likely be up against Trouba and Dumba).
Wednesday, 28 March 2012
Updated Team Canada Shortlist - March 28
Several teams have now been eliminated from the CHL playoffs cutting down the list for Team Canada at the U18 World Championships.
Here is an updated depth chart for players deserving consideration:
Forward
1. Sean Monahan or Brendan Gaunce (Guaranteed one of these players, barring injury)
2. Charles Hudon (unlikely, considering Chicoutimi has a 3-1 series lead at this point)
3. Scott Laughton (in a tough series with Niagara, winning would be an upset, he should be here)
4. Jarrod Maidens (Attack will likely get eliminated, currently down 3-1 but Maidens hasn't played in a long while and likely won't start at the U18s)
5. Gemel Smith (Maidens teammate on the Attack is a lock to make the team should they fall soon)
6. Kerby Rychel (Down 3-0 to London, expect Warren's kid to be there)
7. Mike Winther (Already eliminated, should be on the team)
8. Troy Bourke (Cougars didn't qualify for the playoffs, Bourke should be on the team)
9. Tom Wilson or Scott Kosmachuk (Close series, one or the other likely a lock in a similar role)
10. Sam Reinhart (Will lead the youth movement when Ice finish up against top seed Oil Kings)
11. Andreas Athanasiou (Highly unlikely London blows their 3-0 series lead, don't expect him to be there)
12. Matia Marcantuoni (Injured but talking about coming back soon, even so Kitchener has a 3-1 lead over Owen Sound and isn't likely to give up the series)
13. Brendan Leipsic (Up 3-0 to Kelowna, Leipsic's Winterhawks will move on and Leipsic won't be in Brno)
14. Brandon Magee (Royals lost their series tonight, but Magee remains on the injured list with an undisclosed ailment, if he's healthy he should be included, big asterix here for now)
15. William Carrier (Cape Breton got thrown to the Sea Dogs, Carrier has good potential to be one of the only Q representatives on this team)
16. Chris Marchese (Windsor is clinging on but London is too strong, Marchese has a real shot after strong second half of OHL season)
17. Matthew Campagna (Sudbury is done, Campagna a serious consideration for Canada)
18. Coda Gordon (Swift Current didn't make the playoffs, I'm not huge on him, but Hockey Canada may disagree with me....it's happened before)
19. Christophe Lalancette (Acadie-Bathurst is on the bubble of elimination, Lalancette could be a consideration)
20. Steven Hodges (Royals are out, Hodges deserves debate)
21. Ryan Olsen (Could be anywhere from 16 to 21 on this list, Blades are out, Olsen on the bubble at least)
22. Branden Troock (People love him, he's got a shot and his team is done)
23. Carter Rigby (Good character player, would be an asset in short term competition, team down 0-3 to high powered Portland)
24. Tyrel Seaman (Surprisingly up 3-1 over 3rd seated Calgary, bubble either way)
25. Chandler Stephenson (Down 3-1 to 2nd seed Moose Jaw, a real possibility)
Other bubble forwards: Alex Forsberg, Morgan Klimchuk, Connor Honey, Zane Jones, Anthony Mantha
Defense
1. Matt Dumba (lock, likely captain as well)
2. Morgan Rielly (injured but talking comeback, too bad for Canada Moose Jaw is up 3-1 and likely moving on even if he is ready to play)
3. Griffin Reinhart (not likely with top seed Oil Kings having their way with Kootenay)
4. Matt Finn (Guelph in a serious battle with Plymouth, underdogs but too close to call so far)
5. Derrick Pouliot (Unlikely, team up 3-0 and heavily favored)
6. Adam Pelech (Count him in)
7. Ryan Pulock (Up 3-1 in potential upset series win, don't rule him out yet, but chances of him playing for Canada are fading)
8. Damon Severson (Down 0-3, strong shot at being named to team)
9. Gianluca Curcuruto (Team is out, he had a strong showing at summer U18 camp, good shot here)
10. Eric Roy (Same situation as Pulock)
11. Brett Kulak (In a big series battle with Spokane, currently all knotted up, keep an eye out)
12. Jesse Graham (Niagara has their hands full right now but is favored to move on)
13. Aaron Ekbald (Barrie is knotted up with the Majors 2-2, Ekbald gets serious consideration should Barrie lose out)
14. Josh Morrissey (Already out, chances are slim...but you're saying there's a chance)
15. Reid Gow (Spokane is tied 2-2 with Giants, in the conversation if they can't pull it out)
Other bubble defenders: Nic Walters, Darnell Nurse, Matt Murphy, Cole Wedman
Goaltenders
1. Chris Driedger (Hitmen facing elimination, Driedger should be the starter for Canada if they don't come back, however not everyone is as high on him as I am)
2. Matthew Murray (The Soo is out, Murray has a lot of fans since the Top Prospect Game, battle between top 4 goalies will be tight)
3. Francois Tremblay (Pretty strong shot at making this team either way, team is already out)
4. Daniel Althsuler (Already backstopped Canada to one U18 Gold Medal, showing very well in OHL playoffs which could make point moot if Oshawa upsets Niagara)
5. Brandon Whitney (Likely the odd man out of just the debate, but anything can happen, team was upset in 1st round of Quebec league playoffs....every team could use a Martimer....)
Bubble Goalies: Dominic Graham
Here is an updated depth chart for players deserving consideration:
Forward
1. Sean Monahan or Brendan Gaunce (Guaranteed one of these players, barring injury)
2. Charles Hudon (unlikely, considering Chicoutimi has a 3-1 series lead at this point)
3. Scott Laughton (in a tough series with Niagara, winning would be an upset, he should be here)
4. Jarrod Maidens (Attack will likely get eliminated, currently down 3-1 but Maidens hasn't played in a long while and likely won't start at the U18s)
5. Gemel Smith (Maidens teammate on the Attack is a lock to make the team should they fall soon)
6. Kerby Rychel (Down 3-0 to London, expect Warren's kid to be there)
7. Mike Winther (Already eliminated, should be on the team)
8. Troy Bourke (Cougars didn't qualify for the playoffs, Bourke should be on the team)
9. Tom Wilson or Scott Kosmachuk (Close series, one or the other likely a lock in a similar role)
10. Sam Reinhart (Will lead the youth movement when Ice finish up against top seed Oil Kings)
11. Andreas Athanasiou (Highly unlikely London blows their 3-0 series lead, don't expect him to be there)
12. Matia Marcantuoni (Injured but talking about coming back soon, even so Kitchener has a 3-1 lead over Owen Sound and isn't likely to give up the series)
13. Brendan Leipsic (Up 3-0 to Kelowna, Leipsic's Winterhawks will move on and Leipsic won't be in Brno)
14. Brandon Magee (Royals lost their series tonight, but Magee remains on the injured list with an undisclosed ailment, if he's healthy he should be included, big asterix here for now)
15. William Carrier (Cape Breton got thrown to the Sea Dogs, Carrier has good potential to be one of the only Q representatives on this team)
16. Chris Marchese (Windsor is clinging on but London is too strong, Marchese has a real shot after strong second half of OHL season)
17. Matthew Campagna (Sudbury is done, Campagna a serious consideration for Canada)
18. Coda Gordon (Swift Current didn't make the playoffs, I'm not huge on him, but Hockey Canada may disagree with me....it's happened before)
19. Christophe Lalancette (Acadie-Bathurst is on the bubble of elimination, Lalancette could be a consideration)
20. Steven Hodges (Royals are out, Hodges deserves debate)
21. Ryan Olsen (Could be anywhere from 16 to 21 on this list, Blades are out, Olsen on the bubble at least)
22. Branden Troock (People love him, he's got a shot and his team is done)
23. Carter Rigby (Good character player, would be an asset in short term competition, team down 0-3 to high powered Portland)
24. Tyrel Seaman (Surprisingly up 3-1 over 3rd seated Calgary, bubble either way)
25. Chandler Stephenson (Down 3-1 to 2nd seed Moose Jaw, a real possibility)
Other bubble forwards: Alex Forsberg, Morgan Klimchuk, Connor Honey, Zane Jones, Anthony Mantha
Defense
1. Matt Dumba (lock, likely captain as well)
2. Morgan Rielly (injured but talking comeback, too bad for Canada Moose Jaw is up 3-1 and likely moving on even if he is ready to play)
3. Griffin Reinhart (not likely with top seed Oil Kings having their way with Kootenay)
4. Matt Finn (Guelph in a serious battle with Plymouth, underdogs but too close to call so far)
5. Derrick Pouliot (Unlikely, team up 3-0 and heavily favored)
6. Adam Pelech (Count him in)
7. Ryan Pulock (Up 3-1 in potential upset series win, don't rule him out yet, but chances of him playing for Canada are fading)
8. Damon Severson (Down 0-3, strong shot at being named to team)
9. Gianluca Curcuruto (Team is out, he had a strong showing at summer U18 camp, good shot here)
10. Eric Roy (Same situation as Pulock)
11. Brett Kulak (In a big series battle with Spokane, currently all knotted up, keep an eye out)
12. Jesse Graham (Niagara has their hands full right now but is favored to move on)
13. Aaron Ekbald (Barrie is knotted up with the Majors 2-2, Ekbald gets serious consideration should Barrie lose out)
14. Josh Morrissey (Already out, chances are slim...but you're saying there's a chance)
15. Reid Gow (Spokane is tied 2-2 with Giants, in the conversation if they can't pull it out)
Other bubble defenders: Nic Walters, Darnell Nurse, Matt Murphy, Cole Wedman
Goaltenders
1. Chris Driedger (Hitmen facing elimination, Driedger should be the starter for Canada if they don't come back, however not everyone is as high on him as I am)
2. Matthew Murray (The Soo is out, Murray has a lot of fans since the Top Prospect Game, battle between top 4 goalies will be tight)
3. Francois Tremblay (Pretty strong shot at making this team either way, team is already out)
4. Daniel Althsuler (Already backstopped Canada to one U18 Gold Medal, showing very well in OHL playoffs which could make point moot if Oshawa upsets Niagara)
5. Brandon Whitney (Likely the odd man out of just the debate, but anything can happen, team was upset in 1st round of Quebec league playoffs....every team could use a Martimer....)
Bubble Goalies: Dominic Graham
Tuesday, 20 March 2012
Canada's U18 Prospects
The CHL regular season has come to a close and a small amount of teams have seen their seasons come to an end. There is still a huge opportunity for those undrafted prospects to showcase their ability in a high intensity competition, the U18 World Championship being held April 12-22 in Brno and Znojmo, Czech Republic.
The coaching staff has been named with Jesse Wallin of Red Deer taking the helm, flanked by Todd Gill of Kingston and Gordie Dwyer of the PEI Rocket. Along with the scouting staff of Hockey Canada, they will be charged with putting together the roster who's job it will be to win the U18 Championship for their country.
Canada's roster will be made up of CHL players not playing in the playoffs or whose teams have been eliminated in round 1.
Here are the possibilities:
Eliminated teams
The Locks:
Red Deer Rebels (WHL): Matt Dumba - An almost absolute lock to go in the top 10 of this year's NHL draft, Dumba was the captain of Canada's U18 Team that took home gold at the Ivan Hlinka and should be a lock to wear the C again for Canada this time around. Especially considering his head coach in Red Deer will be running the show this time around.
Erie Otters (OHL): Adam Pelech - A surprise selection for the Ivan Hlinka roster considering Canada's wealth of 94 born defenders, Pelech has improved all year and should be a lock to return to the Red and White.
Sault Saint Marie Greyhounds (OHL): Matt Murray - A standout during the Top Prospect Showcase in Kelowna, Murray is highly regarded with Hockey Canada goaltending consultant and coach, Ron Tugnutt and will have the opportunity to atone for his disapointment in being left off the Ivan Hlinka roster. Even if other goaltenders emerge, Murray can likely only be challenged by Calgary's Chris Driedger, Val d'Or's Tremblay or Oshawa's Altshuler. He's a safe bet to be at least the 2nd goaltender for this squad.
Prince Albert Raiders (WHL): Mike Winther - A speedy forward who has turned heads all season, Winther's game translates well to the International style and he should be a lock to at least crack the 4th line, but could even find himself on a 2nd or 3rd line with potential PP minutes.
Prince George Cougars (WHL): Troy Bourke - A very talented offensive playmaker, Bourke has been thrown to the wolves a bit this year in the WHL but continues to drive forward. He will be highly motivated and ready to play for his country.
The Good Shots
Sault Saint Marie Greyhounds (OHL) - Giancarlo Curcuruto - A very talented and under rated prospect in my opinion, Curcuruto was very close to making the Ivan Hlinka team in the summer and sits with an excellent shot, though not a lock, to make the team this time around.
Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL) - Branden Troock - A gritty and hard working power forward, Troock fits a mould that Hockey Canada loves and he could find himself with a role playing spot when all is said and done, especially after proving his clutch ability in an MVP performance at the CHL Top Prospect Game.
Other Players with Slight Hopes
WHL
Lethbridge - Jay Merkley - Underaged playmaker, well know to those in Calgary.
Prince Albert - Josh Morrissey - Very well rounded underaged defender turning heads out west.
Prince George - Alex Forsberg - Undersized and underaged but a highly touted playmaker.
Prince George - Devon Fordyce - Goaltender with short term competition experience and success.
Red Deer - Bolton Pouliot - Not likely to take a spot, but still a goaltending consideration
Seattle - Connor Honey - Gritty ball of energy who never stops competing.
Swift Current - Coda Gordon - Big numbers on bad team, but cooled as season carried on.
OHL
Kingston - Ryan Kujawinski - Big underage centre is one of Todd Gill's go to guys already.
Peterborough - Nick Ritchie - Underage speedster is primed to be an offensive machine.
Peterborough - Slater Koekoek - Injured, highly unlikely to return, but name should be there as he would be on the team if not for being sidelined.
SS Marie - Darnell Nurse - Big hulking underaged defender, worth at least the conversation.
QMJHL
None to consider at this time
The Playoff Teams
WHL
Tri City - Connor Rankin
Everett - Nick Walters, Jari Ericsson
Preferred - Rankin would be a welcome addition to the offense.
Likelihood - Not much of a chance Tri Cities loses this one. Walters likely a bubble player, Ericsson likely gets spoken about but won't crack the roster
Portland - Derrick Pouliot, Brendan Leipsic
Kelowna - Damon Severson, Carter Rigby
Pref: Portland's Pouliot and Leipsic would be shoeins.
Likelihood - Kelowna falls to high powered Winterhawks. Severson stands a real shot at cracking the squad, Rigby will get serious consideration as a role player but likely doesn't make the team in the end.
Kamloops - none
Victoria - Brandon Magee, Steven Hodges, Zane Jones
Pref - The choice of 3 vs. 0 makes it easy.
Likelihood - Victoria doesn't stand much of a chance to win this series, Magee, if healthy has earned a great reputation and should make the team, Hodges and Jones would both fit nicely but likely find themselves on the wrong side of the bubble when the team is chosen.
Spokane - none
Vancouver - none
Calgary - Chris Driedger
Brandon - Ryan Pulock, Eric Roy, Tyrell Seaman
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Driedger would be a solid number one or two goaltender but Calgary is favored to win this series. Offensively inclined D men Pulock and underager Roy are a nice consolation to chose from, and big strong power forward Seaman adds a nice dynamic as well. Pulock would be a no brainer to crack the D, Roy and Seaman would likely fall victim to the numbers game, but will get long looks.
Edmonton - Reinhart
Kootenay - Reinhart
Pref - Reinhart
Likelihood - Reinhart...Edmonton should steamroll the Ice and will the elder Reinhart would be a lock to make the team, the very young Sam Reinhart will get debated heavily on whether or not they will bring someone so young on board. Depending on what other forwards are available elsewhere, Reinhart could just crack the squad.
Moose Jaw - Morgan Rielly
Regina - Morgan Klimchuk, Chandler Stephenson
Pref - Rielly
Likelihood - No Rielly even if Regina manages to upset the number 2 seed Warriors as he is still injured. Klimchuk and Stephenson are nice to debate, but have little hope of making the final roster.
Medicine Hat - Hunter Shinkaruk
Saskatoon - Ryan Olsen, Dalton Thrower
Pref - Shinkaruk. Who wouldn't want one of the best offensive players available for next year's NHL draft.
Likelihood - An upset is possible here, but unlikely. Thrower is injured but word is he could be back and would be a welcome addition to this team. Olsen has been up and down but could find himself with consideration in the bottom 3-4 forwards for the team.
OHL
London - Andreas Athanasiou
Windsor - Kerby Rychel, Chris Marchese
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Top seed London rolls on. Kerby Rychel has been one of the most surprising prospects of the season and it all started with his breakout performance in Canada's colors at the Ivan Hlinka. He would be a lock to rejoin the squad. Marchese has been inconsistent but his high energy and physical play could be a welcome addition as well.
Plymouth - Tom Wilson
Guelph - Matt Finn, Scott Kosmachuk
Pref - Guelph
Likelihood - Guelph falls to Plymouth. Finn and Kosmachuk are virtual locks to be named to the team. If Guelph prevails, Wilson also would be a lock.
Kitchener - Matia Marcantuoni
Owen Sound - Gemel Smith, Jarrod Maidens
Pref - Owen Sound
Likelihood - Maidens would be a lock, but since he has barely played all year, safe to assume he is out. Smith's work ethic and small offensive upside are very difficult to match up against and he can really inspire a team with his play. Smith would be a lock. An injury riddled season have left a lot of questions around Marcantuoni.
Sarnia - none
Saginaw - none
Niagra - Jesse Graham
Oshawa - Scott Laughton, Daniel Altshuler
Pref - Oshawa
Likelihood - Oshawa falls to high powered Niagra, Laughton shores up a strong 2nd line for Canada, Altshuler enters the goalie debate. It likely comes down to him, Murray and Tremblay for 2 spots.
Ottawa - Sean Monahan
Belleville - Brenden Gaunce
Pref - Slight lean to Monahan
Likelihood - Canada gets their top line center from this series. Belleville seems poised for a potential upset, Monahan tears up tournament and garners serious hype for next year's draft.
Barrie - Aaron Ekblad
Mississauga - none
Pref - Barrie to fall
Likelihood - Barrie doesn't fall. Ekblad would be a great addition to the backend for Canada and would seize the opportunity, but it doesn't look like it will be this year.
Brampton - none
Sudbury - Matthew Campagna
Pref - Blujus
Likelihood - Campagna's Wolves fall to the Battalion and Campagna finds himself as one of the last players to make the team, or the first not to make the team.
QMJHL
Saint John - none
Cape Breton - William Carrier
Pref - Cape Breton
Likelihood - It would be a moder day miracle if 16th seed Cape Breton took down the reigning Memorial Cup champs. Carrier is one of only a handful of players in the Q who would really have a shot at cracking team Canada as it is. Expect him to be there.
Shawinigan - none
Rouyn-Noranda - Dillon Fournier (injured)
Pref - Fournier
Likelihood - Even with the likelihood that they will fall to the far superior Cataractes, Fournier will have his work cut out for himself to make the Canadian squad, but stranger things have happened.
EDIT - Fournier is out with a shoulder injury and likely isn't able to recover in time to participate.
Blainville-Boisbriand - none
Gatineau - none
Victoriaville - Brandon Whitney
Baie Comeau - Felix Girard
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Baie Comeau falls, Girard still doesn't make the team.
Quebec - none
Drummondville - Dominic Graham
Pref - Graham to improve the goalie pool
Likelihood - It won't matter, Graham, while talented, can't push one of the other names out.
Halifax - Nathan MacKinnon
Moncton - none
Pref - The young superstar in the making
Likelihood - MacKinnon could have made the WJC squad, but it's not likely he will get his shot to suit up for Canada here as the Mooseheads are poised to roll through Moncton.
Rimouski - none
Val d'Or - Anthony Mantha, Matt Murphy
Pref - Val d'Or
Likelihood - Neither Mantha or Murphy are on the radar enough as of yet to earn a spot on Canada, but watch out for both moving forward.
Chicoutimi - Charles Hudon
Acadie Bathurst - Christophe Lalancette
Pref - Hudon to run the offense
Likelihood - Lalancette gets added to the mix as one of the very few Q league players who could actually stand a chance to make the team.
If I had to predict the squad, I imagine it will look something like this:
Forwards
Monahan, Bourke, Smith
Rychel, Laughton, Kosmachuk
Carierre, Winther, Lalancette
Magee, Reinhart, Rigby
Bubble: Troock, Campagna, Hodges
Defense
Dumba, Finn
Pelech, Pulock
Curcuruto, Severson
Thrower - if healthy
Bubble - Morrissey
Goaltenders
Murray, Tremblay
Bubble - Altshuler, Graham
The coaching staff has been named with Jesse Wallin of Red Deer taking the helm, flanked by Todd Gill of Kingston and Gordie Dwyer of the PEI Rocket. Along with the scouting staff of Hockey Canada, they will be charged with putting together the roster who's job it will be to win the U18 Championship for their country.
Canada's roster will be made up of CHL players not playing in the playoffs or whose teams have been eliminated in round 1.
Here are the possibilities:
Eliminated teams
The Locks:
Red Deer Rebels (WHL): Matt Dumba - An almost absolute lock to go in the top 10 of this year's NHL draft, Dumba was the captain of Canada's U18 Team that took home gold at the Ivan Hlinka and should be a lock to wear the C again for Canada this time around. Especially considering his head coach in Red Deer will be running the show this time around.
Erie Otters (OHL): Adam Pelech - A surprise selection for the Ivan Hlinka roster considering Canada's wealth of 94 born defenders, Pelech has improved all year and should be a lock to return to the Red and White.
Sault Saint Marie Greyhounds (OHL): Matt Murray - A standout during the Top Prospect Showcase in Kelowna, Murray is highly regarded with Hockey Canada goaltending consultant and coach, Ron Tugnutt and will have the opportunity to atone for his disapointment in being left off the Ivan Hlinka roster. Even if other goaltenders emerge, Murray can likely only be challenged by Calgary's Chris Driedger, Val d'Or's Tremblay or Oshawa's Altshuler. He's a safe bet to be at least the 2nd goaltender for this squad.
Prince Albert Raiders (WHL): Mike Winther - A speedy forward who has turned heads all season, Winther's game translates well to the International style and he should be a lock to at least crack the 4th line, but could even find himself on a 2nd or 3rd line with potential PP minutes.
Prince George Cougars (WHL): Troy Bourke - A very talented offensive playmaker, Bourke has been thrown to the wolves a bit this year in the WHL but continues to drive forward. He will be highly motivated and ready to play for his country.
The Good Shots
Sault Saint Marie Greyhounds (OHL) - Giancarlo Curcuruto - A very talented and under rated prospect in my opinion, Curcuruto was very close to making the Ivan Hlinka team in the summer and sits with an excellent shot, though not a lock, to make the team this time around.
Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL) - Branden Troock - A gritty and hard working power forward, Troock fits a mould that Hockey Canada loves and he could find himself with a role playing spot when all is said and done, especially after proving his clutch ability in an MVP performance at the CHL Top Prospect Game.
Other Players with Slight Hopes
WHL
Lethbridge - Jay Merkley - Underaged playmaker, well know to those in Calgary.
Prince Albert - Josh Morrissey - Very well rounded underaged defender turning heads out west.
Prince George - Alex Forsberg - Undersized and underaged but a highly touted playmaker.
Prince George - Devon Fordyce - Goaltender with short term competition experience and success.
Red Deer - Bolton Pouliot - Not likely to take a spot, but still a goaltending consideration
Seattle - Connor Honey - Gritty ball of energy who never stops competing.
Swift Current - Coda Gordon - Big numbers on bad team, but cooled as season carried on.
OHL
Kingston - Ryan Kujawinski - Big underage centre is one of Todd Gill's go to guys already.
Peterborough - Nick Ritchie - Underage speedster is primed to be an offensive machine.
Peterborough - Slater Koekoek - Injured, highly unlikely to return, but name should be there as he would be on the team if not for being sidelined.
SS Marie - Darnell Nurse - Big hulking underaged defender, worth at least the conversation.
QMJHL
None to consider at this time
The Playoff Teams
WHL
Tri City - Connor Rankin
Everett - Nick Walters, Jari Ericsson
Preferred - Rankin would be a welcome addition to the offense.
Likelihood - Not much of a chance Tri Cities loses this one. Walters likely a bubble player, Ericsson likely gets spoken about but won't crack the roster
Portland - Derrick Pouliot, Brendan Leipsic
Kelowna - Damon Severson, Carter Rigby
Pref: Portland's Pouliot and Leipsic would be shoeins.
Likelihood - Kelowna falls to high powered Winterhawks. Severson stands a real shot at cracking the squad, Rigby will get serious consideration as a role player but likely doesn't make the team in the end.
Kamloops - none
Victoria - Brandon Magee, Steven Hodges, Zane Jones
Pref - The choice of 3 vs. 0 makes it easy.
Likelihood - Victoria doesn't stand much of a chance to win this series, Magee, if healthy has earned a great reputation and should make the team, Hodges and Jones would both fit nicely but likely find themselves on the wrong side of the bubble when the team is chosen.
Spokane - none
Vancouver - none
Calgary - Chris Driedger
Brandon - Ryan Pulock, Eric Roy, Tyrell Seaman
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Driedger would be a solid number one or two goaltender but Calgary is favored to win this series. Offensively inclined D men Pulock and underager Roy are a nice consolation to chose from, and big strong power forward Seaman adds a nice dynamic as well. Pulock would be a no brainer to crack the D, Roy and Seaman would likely fall victim to the numbers game, but will get long looks.
Edmonton - Reinhart
Kootenay - Reinhart
Pref - Reinhart
Likelihood - Reinhart...Edmonton should steamroll the Ice and will the elder Reinhart would be a lock to make the team, the very young Sam Reinhart will get debated heavily on whether or not they will bring someone so young on board. Depending on what other forwards are available elsewhere, Reinhart could just crack the squad.
Moose Jaw - Morgan Rielly
Regina - Morgan Klimchuk, Chandler Stephenson
Pref - Rielly
Likelihood - No Rielly even if Regina manages to upset the number 2 seed Warriors as he is still injured. Klimchuk and Stephenson are nice to debate, but have little hope of making the final roster.
Medicine Hat - Hunter Shinkaruk
Saskatoon - Ryan Olsen, Dalton Thrower
Pref - Shinkaruk. Who wouldn't want one of the best offensive players available for next year's NHL draft.
Likelihood - An upset is possible here, but unlikely. Thrower is injured but word is he could be back and would be a welcome addition to this team. Olsen has been up and down but could find himself with consideration in the bottom 3-4 forwards for the team.
OHL
London - Andreas Athanasiou
Windsor - Kerby Rychel, Chris Marchese
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Top seed London rolls on. Kerby Rychel has been one of the most surprising prospects of the season and it all started with his breakout performance in Canada's colors at the Ivan Hlinka. He would be a lock to rejoin the squad. Marchese has been inconsistent but his high energy and physical play could be a welcome addition as well.
Plymouth - Tom Wilson
Guelph - Matt Finn, Scott Kosmachuk
Pref - Guelph
Likelihood - Guelph falls to Plymouth. Finn and Kosmachuk are virtual locks to be named to the team. If Guelph prevails, Wilson also would be a lock.
Kitchener - Matia Marcantuoni
Owen Sound - Gemel Smith, Jarrod Maidens
Pref - Owen Sound
Likelihood - Maidens would be a lock, but since he has barely played all year, safe to assume he is out. Smith's work ethic and small offensive upside are very difficult to match up against and he can really inspire a team with his play. Smith would be a lock. An injury riddled season have left a lot of questions around Marcantuoni.
Sarnia - none
Saginaw - none
Niagra - Jesse Graham
Oshawa - Scott Laughton, Daniel Altshuler
Pref - Oshawa
Likelihood - Oshawa falls to high powered Niagra, Laughton shores up a strong 2nd line for Canada, Altshuler enters the goalie debate. It likely comes down to him, Murray and Tremblay for 2 spots.
Ottawa - Sean Monahan
Belleville - Brenden Gaunce
Pref - Slight lean to Monahan
Likelihood - Canada gets their top line center from this series. Belleville seems poised for a potential upset, Monahan tears up tournament and garners serious hype for next year's draft.
Barrie - Aaron Ekblad
Mississauga - none
Pref - Barrie to fall
Likelihood - Barrie doesn't fall. Ekblad would be a great addition to the backend for Canada and would seize the opportunity, but it doesn't look like it will be this year.
Brampton - none
Sudbury - Matthew Campagna
Pref - Blujus
Likelihood - Campagna's Wolves fall to the Battalion and Campagna finds himself as one of the last players to make the team, or the first not to make the team.
QMJHL
Saint John - none
Cape Breton - William Carrier
Pref - Cape Breton
Likelihood - It would be a moder day miracle if 16th seed Cape Breton took down the reigning Memorial Cup champs. Carrier is one of only a handful of players in the Q who would really have a shot at cracking team Canada as it is. Expect him to be there.
Shawinigan - none
Rouyn-Noranda - Dillon Fournier (injured)
Pref - Fournier
Likelihood - Even with the likelihood that they will fall to the far superior Cataractes, Fournier will have his work cut out for himself to make the Canadian squad, but stranger things have happened.
EDIT - Fournier is out with a shoulder injury and likely isn't able to recover in time to participate.
Blainville-Boisbriand - none
Gatineau - none
Victoriaville - Brandon Whitney
Baie Comeau - Felix Girard
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Baie Comeau falls, Girard still doesn't make the team.
Quebec - none
Drummondville - Dominic Graham
Pref - Graham to improve the goalie pool
Likelihood - It won't matter, Graham, while talented, can't push one of the other names out.
Halifax - Nathan MacKinnon
Moncton - none
Pref - The young superstar in the making
Likelihood - MacKinnon could have made the WJC squad, but it's not likely he will get his shot to suit up for Canada here as the Mooseheads are poised to roll through Moncton.
Rimouski - none
Val d'Or - Anthony Mantha, Matt Murphy
Pref - Val d'Or
Likelihood - Neither Mantha or Murphy are on the radar enough as of yet to earn a spot on Canada, but watch out for both moving forward.
Chicoutimi - Charles Hudon
Acadie Bathurst - Christophe Lalancette
Pref - Hudon to run the offense
Likelihood - Lalancette gets added to the mix as one of the very few Q league players who could actually stand a chance to make the team.
If I had to predict the squad, I imagine it will look something like this:
Forwards
Monahan, Bourke, Smith
Rychel, Laughton, Kosmachuk
Carierre, Winther, Lalancette
Magee, Reinhart, Rigby
Bubble: Troock, Campagna, Hodges
Defense
Dumba, Finn
Pelech, Pulock
Curcuruto, Severson
Thrower - if healthy
Bubble - Morrissey
Goaltenders
Murray, Tremblay
Bubble - Altshuler, Graham
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