For those of you who don't me that well, or at all, I am a passionate fan of the sport of hockey with a background in coaching and scouting. I tend to write about all sorts of topics from scouting prospects and junior leagues to ideas for rule changes and opinions on NHL issues. What most people don't know, is that my biggest passion is the international hockey scene. Having been fortunate enough to see a lot of the hockey playing world and experience the love for the game in so many different cultural settings has only amplified this love.
When I was younger, I looked at the World Championships as most Canadian hockey fans do. It's almost a second thought, no one seems to care if we win or lose, although we expect to win but if we don't oh well we didn't send our best players. Internationally, the game has come a long long way in my experience with it. The major hockey playing nations such as Russia, Canada, Sweden, Finland, didn't have to send their best players to be competitive or even challenge for medals. Those days are gone and the gap between the relegation teams or Division 1 teams and the top group is substantially smaller than it has ever been.
The World Championships is a gift to hockey fans every year, a gift that is still uncherished in North America. I leave for Finland tomorrow afternoon and I can't express how fond of and excited for this tournament I now get every year. Sure, part of that is that I get to adventure off to European cities, but that isn't anything new in my life since I ventured down this path. What really gets me going is how these European cities are flooded with hockey tourism. The life, the atmosphere, the passion. When I moved to Finland in 2006, they had only ever won the World Championships once, in 1995. You couldn't go in a bar in the entire country that didn't have some sort of recognition of that glorious victory. The players, coaches and staff of that team were legends and revered by the younger generations who grew up with aspirations of matching this achievement. Well, that generation did just that last year and the party that ensued was epic at a level that only the Finns could pull off.
People in North America don't realize how much this tournament means to the rest of the world, but we're starting to grasp it. Ask the people of Halifax about Latvians and every single one will have a hilarious story about a run in with a boistorous and excitied Maroon-cladded fan from the 2008 World Championship. Or the people of Quebec City who saw their Collisee flooded with Russian hockey fans. Hockey fans are amazing people who breed outstanding legends all over the world. Get caught up in that passion, keep a close eye on this event, even the countries you don't think can play hockey, can, and play it very well. Last year's tournament has one game that sticks out in my mind as being something I wasn't prepared for and it was the intensity of a budding hockey rivalry between the two emerging hockey nations of Austria and Slovenia. Neither squad boasted an NHL player, but both were loaded with passionate and talented young professionals and the game was more than worth the price of admission.
With all of that being said, here are some predictions and players to keep an eye on (keep in mind teams can continue to add players or remove from their roster at this point):
Belarus
Not considered an elite hockey nation, Belarus has a strong hockey playing population and with the addition of the KHL to Minsk, the popularity of the sport continues to gain momentum. It has been 10 years since Belarus stunned Sweden in the quarterfinals of the Salt Lake City Olympics but the goaltender that stole that show, Andrei Mezin, is back. Add explosive offensive talent Mikhail Grabovski of the Toronto Maple Leafs and Belarus is once again an absolute wildcard with the potential to beat anyone if they put it all together again.
Keep an Eye On: Sergei Drozd
Potential Young Star: Roman Graborenko
Prediction: 8th
Canada
Always the powerhouse and always in the mix as far as favorites for this event go, Canada has not been great in recent years but a young, hungry roster and the promise of potential Olympic team positions (should the NHL agree to send players) could be a winning combination for Hockey Canada brass. A gold medal may be tough to come by, but you can bet this roster will showcase the Canadian product well and should contend for a medal. A tournament win and a Finland failure to medal would leave Canada as the top seed for the Sochi games.
Keep an Eye On: Too many to mention but Jordan Eberle and Jeff Skinner seem ready to make a mark on this event.
Potential Young Star: Ryan Murray - a likely top 5 pick in this year's NHL draft.
Prediction: 2nd
Czech Republic
This is a very good offensive entry for the Czechs but they are lacking a bit on the other side of the puck. David Krejci and Tomas Plekanec will lead the charge in creating that offense and Milan Michalek is a prime target to finish off some of those opportunities but the they will need to rely on strong systems play with a relativley defensive minded group on the backend and not a lot of puck movers. Somebody always seems to step up for the Czechs though and it could very well be the grizzled old vet himself, Petr Nedved. Yes, that Petr Nedved. Nedved is actually making his Czech team debut after having difected to Canada in the early 90s. Nedved has completed his 5th straight season in the Czech league, making him IIHF eligible to represent his home country. It will be great to see him at this stage again.
Keep an Eye On: Petr Caslava
Potential Young Star: Tomas Vincour
Prediction: 5th
Denmark
One of the true emerging hockey nations, Denmark's program has come a long way and they are no longer the push overs of old. Denmark boasts a ton of technical skill and speed which could make them one of the more exciting teams to watch during this tournament. Frans Nielsen, Jannik Hansen and Lars Eller are the big names that will lead the way for the Danes, but don't overlook the young and talented Philip Larsen on defence. The Danes have learned a lot from the Swedes and Finns when it comes to developing talent and with two goaltenders working in the "Finnish goaltending factory", Denmark could make some noise.
Keep an Eye On: Jesper Jensen (there's two of them, so he/they should be everywhere!)
Potential Young Star: Philip Larsen
Prediction: 10th
Finland
The main host of this year's event, Finland is also the defending Champion, and the hype for this event has been off the charts in Suomi. Finland has a love for sport that few countries can match, and the crown jewel of sports for the Finns is jaakiekko (ice hockey). Helsinki will be rocking and the Koskenkorva will be flowing. The roster is loaded with players with National team experience. Finland should play a similar two-way gritty style that helped them win last year's title. They have exceptional goaltending, reliable defence and a versatile forward group. They should be able to match up against everyone and could prove to be a tough team to knock off during the elimination stages of the tournament. Finland should compete for a medal.
Keep an Eye On: Antti Pihlstrom
Potential Young Star: Mikeal Granlund...not a potential star....already a star
Prediction: 3rd
France
Many would be surprised by the growing talent base in France. Their program from the grass roots up has made huge strides in the past 5 years and they continue to show potential to be a breakout power in the not too distant future. A strong international result could be a huge boost to the program that continues to find momentum without one. They are producing top level professional talent and cultivating it well. Their proximity to countries like Switzerland has also helped their competition levels. They may even boast a first round NHL prospect this year if Timothe Bozon hears his named called in June in Pittsburgh.
Keep an Eye On: Cristobal Huet (yup, he's still there)
Potential Young Star: Stephane Da Costa
Prediction: 14th
Germany
Germany used to have to rely on strategy to compete with the top teams in international play. They would trap up and play a very boring and frustrating style. They have ventured away from that and it has paid major dividends with their youth systems. While other countries have caught up to them, Germany continuously produces top level talent, and they are starting to reap the rewards of this. This team will still be led by the veterans that always seem to represent their country but will be sprinkled with glimpses of the future, a future that is very bright and a long time coming. The time might not be now for them, but it's not far away and they will impress and surprise.
Keep an Eye On: Philip Gogula
Potential Young Star: Dennis Reul
Prediction: 11th
Italy
Italy has benefited from some good decision making, an organized professional structure and the 2006 Olympics. The country known for their soccer players has started to see some of those athletes move over to hockey. Their community is tight and they have gained a lot from having import professionals come over and raise the level of their leagues. They can know put together very competitive national teams at multiple age groups and are starting to forge a style and reputation for their players that is almost the polar opposite of how we see their soccer players. The gritty and rugged Italians (weird right?) aren't intimidated anymore and are on the road to producing a higher and higher calibre of player domestically. Not likely a threat to the major nations for some time yet, they are on the hockey map and will not be going anywhere anytime soon.
Keep an Eye On: Andreas Bernard
Potential Young Star: Marco Insam
Prediction: 15th
Kazakhstan
The Kazaks will actually have one of the most experienced rosters coming into this tournament. After a few years out of the top group, they return with a group that is very familiar with the task at hand. It will be an uphill climb for Kazakhstan to avoid the relegation stages but they will be capable of winning games if taken lightly.
Keep an Eye On: Dmitri Upper
Potential Young Star: Konstantin Savenkov
Prediction: 16th
Latvia
Latvia has become the pride and joy of this tournament in recent years, not just because of an improving level on the ice and certainly not because of their results, but because of the passion the team and their fans bring to the host cities every year. They don't quite have the star power to rely on that they did in the days of Sandis Ozolinsh, Arturs Irbe and the late Sergei Zholtok but their depth is much improved and that star power isn't far away form returning with the young prospects such as Zemgus Girgensons and Teodors Blugers waiting in the wings. They will have the experience of former NHL top coach, Ted Nolan and some young faces ready to take over the reigns. They likely won't be able to knock off any of the top teams, but they will try and they always prove to be one of the most entertaining and likeable aspects of this yearly event.
Keep an Eye On: Kaspars Daugavins
Potential Young Star: Roberts Bukarts
Prediction: 12th
Norway
It has always boggled the mind how Sweden and Finland can be so good at this sport and how Norway lags so far behind. Norway finally seems to be serious about the sport and they now prove to be a serious opponent for every nation. In the 90s Norway was regarded as a stat padding opponent, but now Norway competes well at every level. Their professional leagues are outstanding and improving year after year and their youth system continues to impress with the quality of their young prospects. Norway has leap frogged a ton of nations into becoming one of the next nations on the cusp of hockey's elite group.
Keep an Eye On: Jonas Holos
Potential Young Star: Andreas Martinsen
Prediction: 13th
Russia
Their likely isn't another nation, other than perhaps Finland, who will be more fired up to win at this tournament than Russia. The push for Sochi is becoming very clear, and like Vancouver was for Canada, a gold in hockey would mean a success for the hosts. That push is clearly amplifying and the Russians will come out swinging. They have the goaltending with Semeon Varlamov, they have the scoring forwards with arguably the most exciting and most productive offensive players in the world in Pavel Datsyuk and Evgeni Malkin but they also have a ton of players with something to gain, and that's what makes them scary.
Keep an Eye On: Datsyuk and Malkin (apart they are pretty good, together they can melt your mind)
Potential Young Stars: Evgeni Kuznetsov has gotten a ton of love and hype but Vladimir Tarasenko might just be better. Either way that's an excellent one-two punch of talented youth.
Prediction: 4th
Slovakia
For such a small nation, the Slovaks have one of the best percentages of developing players for elite professional hockey than anywhere else. Slovakia is in hockey's elite group of nations and always seem to ice competitive and dangerous squads. Having big Zdeno Chara anchoring their team will certainly help. Their has been a gradual changing of the guard for Slovakian ice hockey and they will have to without the big offensive guns they used to threaten with but their replacements are on the way and this could prove to a very big moment for some of those players. Slovakia always seems to impress when they shouldn't and this is a year where they shouldn't be able to play with the top teams, but I think they will do so anyways. Mark them down as a wildcard and potentially the most underrated as well.
Keep an Eye On: Anyone you can see around Zdeno Chara...
Potential Young Star: Tomas Tatar
Prediction: 7th
Sweden
The other hosts of this event, Stockholm will host the B pool this year before taking over and switching with Finland for next year as the main host. The home cooking should be a welcome boost to a team that has complimented its aging stars with examples of their world class development system. The Alfredssons, Franzens and Zetterbergs will still lead this team, but it will be the Landeskogs, Karlssons and Hedmans that will hold the fate of the Swedes successes. If Sweden has one weakness it will be in goal, but calling Jhonas Enroth a weakness would not be wise. The diminutive netminder has been stealing games for his country for years, and let's not forget he almost stole a job from Ryan Miller. The Swedes are deep, versatile and dangerous, how they mesh could be the biggest obstacle. They will be looking to give back some of the torment the Finns subjected them to after losing 6-1 in last year's gold medal game, what better place to extract that revenge than the Finnish capital. Anything less than a medal for Sweden would be shocking.
Keep an Eye On: Jonas Brodin
Potential Young Star: Calle Jarnkrok
Prediction: Gold
Switzerland
The Swiss are still a couple years off from being able to capitalize on their young stars like Nino Niederreiter and Sven Bartschi but they still boast an very good transitional defensive group, led by New York Islanders captain, Mark Streit. Nino will continue to rake in the experience but shouldn't expect a fairy tale just yet. The Swiss will be a force to be reckoned with in the not too distant future but for now they are going to grind some games out and force opponents to play their style. They should float around the middle of the pack all tournament long and will not be a push over by any stretch of the imagination but also lack the depth to beat any of the top nations, especially if those nations are firing on all cylinders.
Keep an Eye On: Roman Wick
Potential Young Star: Nino Niederreiter and Luca Sbisa
Prediction: 9th
USA
The US program does a very good job of fielding young competitive teams every year but they, like Canada, use this program to tryout players for the Olympic and World Cup events. It is tough with so many of the top talents from your system playing in the NHL playoffs still or recovering from the grueling season. They are not lacking for talent but only have 6-9 of their top players on this roster. With that being said, they are deep, young and they do have some emerging talents on their roster. They might not be the big bad Americans we saw in the 2010 Olympics, but there is some of that element present and some new dimensions that could prove to be very beneficial in the international style of play.
Keep an Eye On: Cam Atkinson, Bobby Ryan, Paul Stastny
Potential Young Star: Justin Faulk
Prediction: 6th
As much as I love junior hockey, top level professional hockey and the NHL, I have learned to love this event like a European. As exciting as the NHL playoffs are, they don't do as much for hockey worldwide as this event does. However, the fact that both are going on simultaneously and will this year be broadcast to more countries than ever is huge and will only make for better quality of the game and more opportunities for players, coaches and fans. Some may disagree with me, but my experience has led me to believe that International hockey truly is the game at its purest.
I will continue to blog from Helsinki on the games and from the Coaching Symposiums over the next couple of weeks. I promise they will be shorter and easier to read, haha!
Follow me on twitter @rossmaclean for less wordy updates!
Showing posts with label Hockey Canada. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hockey Canada. Show all posts
Thursday, 3 May 2012
Wednesday, 18 April 2012
Looking forward to U18 Quarter Final Matchups
The playoff round gets set to begin for the U18 World Champs after a day off. Here's what you can likely expect:
Finland vs. Germany
The winner of this game gets to play Sweden in the semifinals. Germany is a bit of a surprise to have made it this far, and on paper this looks like it could be an easy win for Finland. But Germany is anything but an easy opponent. Germany is well coached by Jim Setters and has a versatile lineup with capable goaltending. They have shown good discipline, work ethic and commitment to their gameplans. Finland has some potent offensive talent and some good strong physical forecheckers. The Finns biggest asset is their powerplay which has created relentless scoring chances for them every game except their first. This game will likely come down to special teams. If Germany can stay out of the box they can likely keep the score tight and compete, possibly even upset the Finns but if they give the Finns any space, the Finns are tough to stop once they get running.
Key Players
Finland: Teuvo Teravainen, Ville Pokka, Sasha Barkov
Germany: Leon Draisaitl, Marcel Kurth, Marvin Cupper
Prediction: Finland pulls out a 6-3 win but the game is closer than the score indicates. (How can you bet against a Finland vs. Sweden semifinal?)
Canada vs. Russia
The winner of this match of bitter rivals gets another bitter rival in the USA as a semifinal opponent. Russia does not play like the stereotypical Russian entries in past years of this tournament. They have a gritty, well rounded team that plays hard in both directions but also boasts some extremely dangerous offensive talent. Canada has a similar team, with a bit more grit but not as much offensive firepower. This game could come down to which team can figure out the opposition goaltending first. Both Russia's Vasilevski and Canada's Murray have been strong so far in the event but have both also given up some goals they probably shouldn't have. If that happens in this game, it could prove costly. Canada will need to attempt to work down the Russian defence and get pucks to the net front. This is where Kerby Rychel, Scott Laughton and Hunter Shinkaruk come in. All three will need to be on and winning battles down low for Canada to optimize their chances for victory. Russia has great speed and creativity. If they can push Canada's defence low and get some good shots from motion they will improve their chances of winning dramatically. This game has potential to be a hard battle or an all out run and gun shootout.
Key Players
Canada: Matt Dumba, Brendan Gaunce, Hunter Shinkaruk
Russia: Valeri Nichushkin, Bogdan Yakimov, Anto Slepyshev
Prediction: Canada gets their rematch with the US with a 4-3 win.
(Don't forget to catch this game on TSN in Canada or on fasthockey.com)
Finland vs. Germany
The winner of this game gets to play Sweden in the semifinals. Germany is a bit of a surprise to have made it this far, and on paper this looks like it could be an easy win for Finland. But Germany is anything but an easy opponent. Germany is well coached by Jim Setters and has a versatile lineup with capable goaltending. They have shown good discipline, work ethic and commitment to their gameplans. Finland has some potent offensive talent and some good strong physical forecheckers. The Finns biggest asset is their powerplay which has created relentless scoring chances for them every game except their first. This game will likely come down to special teams. If Germany can stay out of the box they can likely keep the score tight and compete, possibly even upset the Finns but if they give the Finns any space, the Finns are tough to stop once they get running.
Key Players
Finland: Teuvo Teravainen, Ville Pokka, Sasha Barkov
Germany: Leon Draisaitl, Marcel Kurth, Marvin Cupper
Prediction: Finland pulls out a 6-3 win but the game is closer than the score indicates. (How can you bet against a Finland vs. Sweden semifinal?)
Canada vs. Russia
The winner of this match of bitter rivals gets another bitter rival in the USA as a semifinal opponent. Russia does not play like the stereotypical Russian entries in past years of this tournament. They have a gritty, well rounded team that plays hard in both directions but also boasts some extremely dangerous offensive talent. Canada has a similar team, with a bit more grit but not as much offensive firepower. This game could come down to which team can figure out the opposition goaltending first. Both Russia's Vasilevski and Canada's Murray have been strong so far in the event but have both also given up some goals they probably shouldn't have. If that happens in this game, it could prove costly. Canada will need to attempt to work down the Russian defence and get pucks to the net front. This is where Kerby Rychel, Scott Laughton and Hunter Shinkaruk come in. All three will need to be on and winning battles down low for Canada to optimize their chances for victory. Russia has great speed and creativity. If they can push Canada's defence low and get some good shots from motion they will improve their chances of winning dramatically. This game has potential to be a hard battle or an all out run and gun shootout.
Key Players
Canada: Matt Dumba, Brendan Gaunce, Hunter Shinkaruk
Russia: Valeri Nichushkin, Bogdan Yakimov, Anto Slepyshev
Prediction: Canada gets their rematch with the US with a 4-3 win.
(Don't forget to catch this game on TSN in Canada or on fasthockey.com)
Sunday, 15 April 2012
U18 Thoughts - Day 3
Day 3 of the U18 Champs had me running around the country to catch the games I wanted to see, got to enjoy the backroads of southern Czech Republic, experienced a 5 man accordion band in the lobby of my hotel when I got back and saw some old friends.
As far as the games went here are my thoughts from a busy day 3:
USA- CZE
- Another shutout for Collin Olson, people don't understand how difficult it is for a North American to come to Europe for a short term competiton. The adjustments and fatigue really effect focus, which most positions can get away with. Goaltenders not so much.
- The US kept the Czechs to 17 shots on goal with most of those coming in the 3rd period with the game firmly in their control.
- The stable of US defenders led by Jones and Trouba is exceptional, they play a smart team game and the transitional attack option they provide is deadly.
- Daniel O'Reagan has been a nice addition to the team and has seen a lot of crucial offensive minutes up front, including PP minutes. His ability to play the perimeter has made life easy for Nicholas Kerdiles who is getting more chances from the middle ice to shoot.
- Young Czech forward Jakub Vrana had a great game agasint Denmark but was not able to match his performance agains the US and really struggled to win space against the big, mobile US defenders.
- It was a tough showing for most of the Czech players as not many were able to get much going.
RUS - GER
- Germany pulled off arguably their biggest upset win at this tournament in recent memory. They were a surprising team last year and look to repeat that situation again this year.
- Germany is well coached, play a very disciplined team style and pick their spots.
- 95 born Frederik Tiffels was the catalyst for Germany in this game. His lightning quick speed and full ice work ethic was contagious after he put it together for Germany's first goal of the game.
- The combination of Marcel Kurth and 95 born Leon Draisaitl was potent on the powerplay. Draisaitl is a very good playmaker in the offensive end and showed off some tremendous vision, with Kurth battles hard for space and can make things happen around the net.
- German goaltender Marvin Cupper was beyond stellar keeping Russia frustrated in the 3rd period and was the main reason Germany was able to hold on for the win.
- Russia has great young talent up front. Late 94 birthdate Bogdan Yakimov is a very appealing offensive player. He has great size, moves well and his technical ability with the puck is impressive.
- Valeri Nichushkin, who plays every shift with Yakimov in all situations, is explosive and has seemingly endless talent. Great with the puck, he showed outstanding poise and patience on Russia's first goal and sprinkled in strong displays of defensive and physical play throughout the game for a very complete performance.
- Anton Slepyshev is one of Russia's top prospects for this year's draft but has been seriously overshadowed by his younger linemates.
- Andrei Vasilevski, who has a shot to be the first goaltender drafted this year, was unimpressive. He didn't have a bad game, but wasn't able to come up with the saves he really needed to. He continues to show holes on his blocker side. He wasn't bad, by any stretch, but he needs to be better to justify his hype.
SWE-SUI
- Sweden continued their dominance of this event so far with a convincing drubbing of Switzerland.
- The game was never really in doubt for Sweden and their big guns had little trouble creating chances on the Swiss.
- Again, leading the way it was the line of Sebastien Collberg, Alexander Wennberg and Gustav Possler, with Possler taking his turn to score a hat trick in this game. The 3 are at the top of the tournament scoring chart so far.
- Hampus Lindholm had a strong showing and displayed some of the offensive flare that has him flying up the draft board for most teams.
- Swedish netminder Oscar Dansk, who is my personal vote for top goaltending prospect this year had a mediocre showing. He was never forced to do too much and went long stretches without much action.
- The Swiss did not have much working for them in this game. They relied heavily on their top line of Lukas Balmelli, Lukas Sieber and Dario Simion but the trio was not able to muster up many chances. Sieber's frustration was evident in the 3rd period and he resorted to using his stick a little freely on the defensive side of the puck.
CAN-FIN
- The game started out with a fast pace and some good physical play. Both teams had some good chances to score but both Korpisalo and Murray proved up for the task
- Canada got on the board with under a second to play in the 1st period as Matt Dumba hammered a one timer off the faceoff to open the scoring.
- Canada had Ryan Pulock and Hunter Shinkaruk dressed and playing even though they only arrived in Breclav slightly over an hour before the game. Pulock showed the fatigue a bit, struggling to control the puck early and was relegated to mostly PP duty for the game with the odd shift here or there. Shinkaruk on the other hand didn't seem to miss a beat and was more and more prevelant as the game went on.
- Scott Kosmachuk's work ethic really stood out. He flies around the ice and always seems to be in the action.
- Darnell Nurse had a rough game, getting called on some tough situations where he was perhaps a bit too overzealous physically.
- Kerby Rychel was arguably Canada's best player in this game, showing great work ethic and desire to get the puck at the net.
- Teuvo Teravainen and Juuso Ikonen were also making their tournament debuts as both just arrived in the Czech Republic. Teravainen was hands down the best player on the ice for either team and showcased his ability to do a bit of everything. His stock will continue to climb if he can keep up the efforts like this one.
- Ristolainen and Pokka had very average showings but Niklas Tikkinen was exceptional. He is a very smooth moving defender with great deceptive skills and tremendous puck distribution ability.
- Arrturi Lehkonen is a 95 born Finnish forward wearing an A. He played on the top line with Teravainen and Ikonen and had a very strong showing. He is dynamite around the net and shows great ability to pick up pucks in scrambles and rebounds. His hands and goal scoring ability are high end.
- Canada's Matt Murray actually kept the score from being a lot worse than it was. Finland moved the puck extremely well on the PP and managed to find shooting lanes from side to side. Murray was excellent at getting across and denying chance after chance. As strong as he was, I felt he was making saves he shouldn't have but didn't make a couple he should have. All in all though an impressive performance that should help his draft stock.
Today there are two games on tap: Denmark vs. USA in Brno and Latvia vs. Sweden in Znojmo. Both games are set to start at the same time, so I will likely take in the fun loving Latvians vs. the uber talented Swedes, which could prove to be a more competitive game than it appears on paper.
As far as the games went here are my thoughts from a busy day 3:
USA- CZE
- Another shutout for Collin Olson, people don't understand how difficult it is for a North American to come to Europe for a short term competiton. The adjustments and fatigue really effect focus, which most positions can get away with. Goaltenders not so much.
- The US kept the Czechs to 17 shots on goal with most of those coming in the 3rd period with the game firmly in their control.
- The stable of US defenders led by Jones and Trouba is exceptional, they play a smart team game and the transitional attack option they provide is deadly.
- Daniel O'Reagan has been a nice addition to the team and has seen a lot of crucial offensive minutes up front, including PP minutes. His ability to play the perimeter has made life easy for Nicholas Kerdiles who is getting more chances from the middle ice to shoot.
- Young Czech forward Jakub Vrana had a great game agasint Denmark but was not able to match his performance agains the US and really struggled to win space against the big, mobile US defenders.
- It was a tough showing for most of the Czech players as not many were able to get much going.
RUS - GER
- Germany pulled off arguably their biggest upset win at this tournament in recent memory. They were a surprising team last year and look to repeat that situation again this year.
- Germany is well coached, play a very disciplined team style and pick their spots.
- 95 born Frederik Tiffels was the catalyst for Germany in this game. His lightning quick speed and full ice work ethic was contagious after he put it together for Germany's first goal of the game.
- The combination of Marcel Kurth and 95 born Leon Draisaitl was potent on the powerplay. Draisaitl is a very good playmaker in the offensive end and showed off some tremendous vision, with Kurth battles hard for space and can make things happen around the net.
- German goaltender Marvin Cupper was beyond stellar keeping Russia frustrated in the 3rd period and was the main reason Germany was able to hold on for the win.
- Russia has great young talent up front. Late 94 birthdate Bogdan Yakimov is a very appealing offensive player. He has great size, moves well and his technical ability with the puck is impressive.
- Valeri Nichushkin, who plays every shift with Yakimov in all situations, is explosive and has seemingly endless talent. Great with the puck, he showed outstanding poise and patience on Russia's first goal and sprinkled in strong displays of defensive and physical play throughout the game for a very complete performance.
- Anton Slepyshev is one of Russia's top prospects for this year's draft but has been seriously overshadowed by his younger linemates.
- Andrei Vasilevski, who has a shot to be the first goaltender drafted this year, was unimpressive. He didn't have a bad game, but wasn't able to come up with the saves he really needed to. He continues to show holes on his blocker side. He wasn't bad, by any stretch, but he needs to be better to justify his hype.
SWE-SUI
- Sweden continued their dominance of this event so far with a convincing drubbing of Switzerland.
- The game was never really in doubt for Sweden and their big guns had little trouble creating chances on the Swiss.
- Again, leading the way it was the line of Sebastien Collberg, Alexander Wennberg and Gustav Possler, with Possler taking his turn to score a hat trick in this game. The 3 are at the top of the tournament scoring chart so far.
- Hampus Lindholm had a strong showing and displayed some of the offensive flare that has him flying up the draft board for most teams.
- Swedish netminder Oscar Dansk, who is my personal vote for top goaltending prospect this year had a mediocre showing. He was never forced to do too much and went long stretches without much action.
- The Swiss did not have much working for them in this game. They relied heavily on their top line of Lukas Balmelli, Lukas Sieber and Dario Simion but the trio was not able to muster up many chances. Sieber's frustration was evident in the 3rd period and he resorted to using his stick a little freely on the defensive side of the puck.
CAN-FIN
- The game started out with a fast pace and some good physical play. Both teams had some good chances to score but both Korpisalo and Murray proved up for the task
- Canada got on the board with under a second to play in the 1st period as Matt Dumba hammered a one timer off the faceoff to open the scoring.
- Canada had Ryan Pulock and Hunter Shinkaruk dressed and playing even though they only arrived in Breclav slightly over an hour before the game. Pulock showed the fatigue a bit, struggling to control the puck early and was relegated to mostly PP duty for the game with the odd shift here or there. Shinkaruk on the other hand didn't seem to miss a beat and was more and more prevelant as the game went on.
- Scott Kosmachuk's work ethic really stood out. He flies around the ice and always seems to be in the action.
- Darnell Nurse had a rough game, getting called on some tough situations where he was perhaps a bit too overzealous physically.
- Kerby Rychel was arguably Canada's best player in this game, showing great work ethic and desire to get the puck at the net.
- Teuvo Teravainen and Juuso Ikonen were also making their tournament debuts as both just arrived in the Czech Republic. Teravainen was hands down the best player on the ice for either team and showcased his ability to do a bit of everything. His stock will continue to climb if he can keep up the efforts like this one.
- Ristolainen and Pokka had very average showings but Niklas Tikkinen was exceptional. He is a very smooth moving defender with great deceptive skills and tremendous puck distribution ability.
- Arrturi Lehkonen is a 95 born Finnish forward wearing an A. He played on the top line with Teravainen and Ikonen and had a very strong showing. He is dynamite around the net and shows great ability to pick up pucks in scrambles and rebounds. His hands and goal scoring ability are high end.
- Canada's Matt Murray actually kept the score from being a lot worse than it was. Finland moved the puck extremely well on the PP and managed to find shooting lanes from side to side. Murray was excellent at getting across and denying chance after chance. As strong as he was, I felt he was making saves he shouldn't have but didn't make a couple he should have. All in all though an impressive performance that should help his draft stock.
Today there are two games on tap: Denmark vs. USA in Brno and Latvia vs. Sweden in Znojmo. Both games are set to start at the same time, so I will likely take in the fun loving Latvians vs. the uber talented Swedes, which could prove to be a more competitive game than it appears on paper.
Sunday, 8 April 2012
U18 Predictions
The Under-18 World Championship kicks off Thursday, April 12th but teams begin their exhibition schedules this weekend. Here is a look ahead, some players to watch and some "bold" predictions on how the event could unfold:
Canada – Always an interesting blend of talent from teams no longer participating in the CHL playoffs, Canada is hit or miss at this event. The team should be deep and hard working with strong mobile defense and quality competitive goaltenders. Canada has assembled a strong roster that should be able to compete with all teams during the tournament and while lacking a lot of star power up front the group they have should build strong chemistry and rely on a score by committee strategy that could take them very far.
Prediction – Gold
Prospect to Watch: Matt Dumba – A potential top 5 pick in this year’s NHL draft, Dumba captained the Canadian U18 team to victory at this past summer’s Ivan Hlinka Memorial and will look for a repeat performance. A very dynamic and explosive defender, Dumba can dominate the ice with his physical play but is also a very exciting offensive player as well. Watch for Canada to rely on his massive one timers from the point on the PP.
Keep an eye on: Sam Reinhart – Reinhart is the youngest of the 3 sons of former NHLer Paul Reinhart. Reinhart was one of the youngest players in Canadian Major Junior hockey this season but still managed to score at a near point per game pace and should take home the WHL rookie of the year award. He is not eligible for the NHL draft until 2014 and is already projected at being a top pick.
Czech Republic – Their marquee talent, Radek Faksa remains entrenched in the CHL playoffs with Kitchener and is likely not going to be available for this tournament (barring a quick exit and recovery from a concussion sustained in round 1). The Czechs have some skill up front and some very good puck moving defenders. In goal, Marek Langhamer is capable of stealing some wins. Depth is what holds the Czechs back right now, but expect them to matchup surprisingly well with just about everyone.
Prediction – 6th
Player to Watch: Petr Sidlik – A slick and intelligent defender, Sidlik has great instincts and while not overly blessed in the size department he is very good at breaking up plays and starting his own. Sidlik should anchor a decent defensive group for the Czechs that also includes promising 95 born defender Jan Kostalek. Sidlik should devour ice time for the Czechs and will be a major reason for any success they achieve during this event.
Keep an eye on: Martin Prochazka – He has great size, protects the puck well and can be near impossible to intimidate physically. Prochazka isn’t always the most consistent player but when he’s on he is a very appealing power forward. A strong performance at this event would help him showcase his very good pro-potential.
Denmark – A consistently improving program, this tournament is another great step in the right direction for Danish hockey. They continue to produce well rounded rosters with more and more top level talent. Denmark is doing a lot right with their hockey program but will continue to require patience as they aren’t quite ready to solidify their top group status at this level. Expect them to go to the wire with a competitive Latvian team for relegation.
Prediction – 10th - relegation
Player to Watch: Oliver Bjorkstrand - A 1995 birthdate, Bjorkstrand has been a mainstay with the U20 team this year and has produced goals at that level as well as in Denmark’s top men’s league. He will be heavily relied on to produce offensive chances for the Danes if they have any hope of being competitive and avoiding relegation. Speedy and dynamic, he has NHL draft potential for next season and continues to show strong development.
Keep an eye on: Mads Eller and Bjorn Udall – Udall is a very underrated and unheralded blueliner. He has good size, moves well and can add some offensive kick from the backend. He should see heavy minutes for the Danes and be relied on in all situations. He will, however, need to put on a serious show to solidify any thought of him being an NHL draft pick at this point. That being said, he is talented and developing very well making him worth a long hard look. Eller is a 95 born player, and is the younger brother of Montreal forward Lars.
Finland – Finland is in an interesting predicament. They are loaded with young talent and could put together a very competitive team. The problem is some of their young stars are playing for teams that remain in league playoff battles. Olli Maatta (London Knights) and Teuvo Teravainen (Jokerit) both look set for long playoff runs with their club teams, meaning they will not be made available for the tournament. Finland remains a country with tremendous depth of talent though and should still provide a stern challenge for the medals.
Prediction – 5th
Player to Watch: Rasmus Ristolainen – An October 1994 birthdate, Ristolainen isn’t eligible to be drafted until next year, but would garner a lot of consideration if he were eligible this year. He’s a very intelligent and physical defender who plays the game with the maturity of a man several grizzled years his elder. He has good offensive upside as well and along with Ville Pokka should run the backend for the Finns.
Keep an eye on: Sasha Barkov – Another tremendously talented Finn, Barkov became the youngest player to score a goal at the World Junior Championships in December. Not eligible until 2013, Barkov is a top 10 talent at this point and could even be considered as a top pick candidate. Already playing against men, Barkov is a dynamic and powerful and should be one of the focal points of the Finnish attack, especially if Teravainen isn’t made available to join.
Germany – The German program continues to grow and while still not able to get over the hump of the elite teams, the IIHF’s new relegation scenarios should prove a major benefit to Germany who suffered years of up and down promotions and relegations. This year’s crop should be competitive, well coached and versatile but should also give glimpses into the bright future of German ice hockey. The 1995 crop of German players has shown a lot of promise for a program that will start to reap the benefits of consistency moving forward.
Prediction – 8th
Player to Watch: Marvin Cupper – Cupper was magnificent for Germany last year during this event and was the major reason Germany was able to compete with the top teams while hosting this event last year. A bit undersized, Cupper is deceptively athletic and quick. His technique is very strong and he plays a very aggressive and challenging style. Felix Potvin comes to mind when watching the young German netminder. He is an underrated netminder who will need some more grooming but his development path has proved very strong.
Keep an eye on: Leon Draisaitl – A late 95 born power forward in the making, Draisaitl is one of the most exciting German prospects in years. He’s a good skater who plays a high tempo style game and can bring a bit of an edge at times as well. He has excellent scoring potential and if he can continue to show good work ethic in his development he could prove to be a serious top prospect in 2014.
Latvia – Latvia suffers greatly from not having Zemgus Girgensons available for this tournament as he remains committed to his USHL club as their season continues. There is still reason for optimism for the Latvian’s though as three of their U20 top scorers are eligible to play in this tournament as well. Teddy Blueger, Nikita Jevpalovs and Robert Lipsbergs should make a up a more than capable top line for the Latvian’s, but will have to be on overdrive to push the Latvian’s out of the bottom group. Overall their program seems to be on the up, but it’s still not enough. Expect them to battle it out with Denmark for relegation.
Prediction – 9th
Player to Watch: Teddy Blueger – Teddy as he’s known when he suits up for Shattuck St. Mary’s, or Teodors his true Latvian name, is an intelligent and opportunistic two-way forward. He prefers to be an offensive contributor and should be relied on in that role during this tournament but his draft appeal lies on his ability to play against top players from other countries and not only score but keep them in check as well. Projected as a later pick for the draft, this is a big tournament for Blueger and he needs to perform well (not just number-wise) to justify the hype around him. Blueger is no stranger to some of the competition having played at Shattuck with players like Nathan MacKinnon and Oscar Dansk.
Keep an eye on: Rihards Bukarts – This kid isn’t eligible to be drafted until 2014 (December 31, 1995 birth date) but already has shown a nice blend of size, skill and work ethic worthy of note. As one of the youngest players in the tournament, Bukarts will likely find himself in a secondary offensive role which should allow him to find some success and showcase his abilities.
Russia – No Yakupov, no Grigorenko....no problem, Russia has a wealth of young talent that can electrify, impress and compete. Surely they will miss their top stars (Grigorenko still in CHL playoffs, Yakupov a late 93 who is too old this year) but they have plenty of offensive depth and young stars that have shown well internationally. Chances get a serious boost if Quebec has a quick exit from CHL playoffs in round 2, but that seems unlikely.
Prediction – 4th
Player to Watch: Andrei Vasilevski – The highly touted Russian netminder is about as much of a veteran of this tournament as one could possibly be. Entering his 3rd U18 championship as Russia’s starter, Vasilevski is still riding the high his WJC performance afforded him. A big and confident goaltender, Vasilevski needs to assert himself one more time as he battles with Oscar Dansk and Malcom Subban as the potential top goaltending prospect for this year’s draft.
Keep an eye on: Valeriy Nichuschkin and Bogdan Yakimov – Russia continues to produce superior offensive talents and both Nichuschkin and Yakimov fit that mould. Both have been excellent contributor’s with Russia’s U18 program all year long, and while neither is eligible for the NHL draft until 2013, they should be the muscle in Russia’s offensive punch, filling the void of the aforementioned stars who can’t participate.
Sweden – On paper, Sweden looks stacked. They have high end talent and reliable depth at every position. They boast a plethora of potential top round NHL draft picks over the next couple of drafts and should prove to be a formidable opponent for all who stand in their way. If anything their one downfall will be how they react to playing high energy, physical and gritty opponents like Canada and the US. If Sweden can keep opponents from dictating the pace, tempo and style of games they play, they could potentially walk through this tournament.
Prediction – Silver
Player to Watch: Oscar Dansk – Sweden has a very deep roster, riddled with talent and potential high end picks, but the success of their team will fall on the shoulders of Dansk. Dansk is, in my opinion, the best and most underrated goaltending prospect available for this year’s draft but not everyone is on board with that idea. If Dansk can showcase his abilities and potential and lead this very capable Swedish team to a top 2 finish, you can bet his stock will start to ease into the realm that it truly belongs. Dansk has good size, great focus and excellent athleticism.
Keep an eye on: Calle Andersson – Forsberg, Bystrom and Collberg are all likely first or at least early second round picks this year, but Andersson is truly interesting. He’s not far off the abilities of Bystrom and could push his way up the draft charts with a strong performance during this tournament.
Switzerland – In recent years the Swiss have boasted rosters sprinkled with supreme talents such as Nino Niederreiter and Sven Baertschi. This year’s squad doesn’t necessarily have that benefit, however it may be a roster with more depth than years past. Switzerland will likely be the most mysterious team in this tournament and their final standing in this event could come down to how the bounces fall.
Prediction – 7th
Player to Watch: Christoph Bertschy – Bertschy saw major minutes in crucial situations for the Swiss U20 team at the WJC and there is no reason that he won’t be in a similar situation in this event. He is an offensive presence that tends to sway more towards finisher than playmaker but he does have some playmaking talent as well. The name of Bertschy’s game is creation, as very few players find themselves with as many scoring chances as he does. Switzerland’s result in this tournament could be a direct result of how Bertschy executes in those situations he creates.
Keep an eye on: Phil Baltisberger – Another late 95 with tons of potential, Baltisberger was a member of Switzerland’s WJC team this past December/January and while he did not see a ton of ice time, his appeal was obvious with minimal evaluation required. A big mobile and strong defender, Baltisberger has a great head for the game, can fire the puck but is most valuable because of his quick and reliable thinking in all situations.
USA – The US has dominated this event over the past decade and always seems to be the favorite coming in, however this year that’s not the case. The US will once again ice a very competitive and talented team but on paper they fail to match up to years past and with the other top nations at this event. The US will find most of their success starts with their very deep stable of defenders. Trouba, Jones and Skjei will log huge minutes and will have to be on top of their games to push this team back towards glory. All that being said, expect surprise performances from their forward group and a tight battle in the top 5 teams for the US.
Prediction – Bronze
Player to Watch: Jacob Trouba - Considered one of the top defensive prospects for this year’s NHL draft, the competition is tight to see who will be the first defender chosen. Trouba is well in that mix. A strong mix of size, grit and skill, Trouba leads a strong American defensive unit that will be relied on heavily if the US is going to challenge for top spot in this event and has an excellent opportunity here to solidify himself as the most valuable draft eligible defender heading into the draft.
Keep an eye on: Seth Jones - Jones is another prospect to keep an eye on, he will also anchor the US blueline and is a potential 1st overall candidate for next year. He has tremendous size and proves to be tremendously athletic (as would be expected from the son of a former NBA star). He plays a very calculated game and can be dominant in all three zones on the ice. He has the potential to win the top defenseman award at this event (on paper he will likely be up against Trouba and Dumba).
Tuesday, 20 March 2012
Canada's U18 Prospects
The CHL regular season has come to a close and a small amount of teams have seen their seasons come to an end. There is still a huge opportunity for those undrafted prospects to showcase their ability in a high intensity competition, the U18 World Championship being held April 12-22 in Brno and Znojmo, Czech Republic.
The coaching staff has been named with Jesse Wallin of Red Deer taking the helm, flanked by Todd Gill of Kingston and Gordie Dwyer of the PEI Rocket. Along with the scouting staff of Hockey Canada, they will be charged with putting together the roster who's job it will be to win the U18 Championship for their country.
Canada's roster will be made up of CHL players not playing in the playoffs or whose teams have been eliminated in round 1.
Here are the possibilities:
Eliminated teams
The Locks:
Red Deer Rebels (WHL): Matt Dumba - An almost absolute lock to go in the top 10 of this year's NHL draft, Dumba was the captain of Canada's U18 Team that took home gold at the Ivan Hlinka and should be a lock to wear the C again for Canada this time around. Especially considering his head coach in Red Deer will be running the show this time around.
Erie Otters (OHL): Adam Pelech - A surprise selection for the Ivan Hlinka roster considering Canada's wealth of 94 born defenders, Pelech has improved all year and should be a lock to return to the Red and White.
Sault Saint Marie Greyhounds (OHL): Matt Murray - A standout during the Top Prospect Showcase in Kelowna, Murray is highly regarded with Hockey Canada goaltending consultant and coach, Ron Tugnutt and will have the opportunity to atone for his disapointment in being left off the Ivan Hlinka roster. Even if other goaltenders emerge, Murray can likely only be challenged by Calgary's Chris Driedger, Val d'Or's Tremblay or Oshawa's Altshuler. He's a safe bet to be at least the 2nd goaltender for this squad.
Prince Albert Raiders (WHL): Mike Winther - A speedy forward who has turned heads all season, Winther's game translates well to the International style and he should be a lock to at least crack the 4th line, but could even find himself on a 2nd or 3rd line with potential PP minutes.
Prince George Cougars (WHL): Troy Bourke - A very talented offensive playmaker, Bourke has been thrown to the wolves a bit this year in the WHL but continues to drive forward. He will be highly motivated and ready to play for his country.
The Good Shots
Sault Saint Marie Greyhounds (OHL) - Giancarlo Curcuruto - A very talented and under rated prospect in my opinion, Curcuruto was very close to making the Ivan Hlinka team in the summer and sits with an excellent shot, though not a lock, to make the team this time around.
Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL) - Branden Troock - A gritty and hard working power forward, Troock fits a mould that Hockey Canada loves and he could find himself with a role playing spot when all is said and done, especially after proving his clutch ability in an MVP performance at the CHL Top Prospect Game.
Other Players with Slight Hopes
WHL
Lethbridge - Jay Merkley - Underaged playmaker, well know to those in Calgary.
Prince Albert - Josh Morrissey - Very well rounded underaged defender turning heads out west.
Prince George - Alex Forsberg - Undersized and underaged but a highly touted playmaker.
Prince George - Devon Fordyce - Goaltender with short term competition experience and success.
Red Deer - Bolton Pouliot - Not likely to take a spot, but still a goaltending consideration
Seattle - Connor Honey - Gritty ball of energy who never stops competing.
Swift Current - Coda Gordon - Big numbers on bad team, but cooled as season carried on.
OHL
Kingston - Ryan Kujawinski - Big underage centre is one of Todd Gill's go to guys already.
Peterborough - Nick Ritchie - Underage speedster is primed to be an offensive machine.
Peterborough - Slater Koekoek - Injured, highly unlikely to return, but name should be there as he would be on the team if not for being sidelined.
SS Marie - Darnell Nurse - Big hulking underaged defender, worth at least the conversation.
QMJHL
None to consider at this time
The Playoff Teams
WHL
Tri City - Connor Rankin
Everett - Nick Walters, Jari Ericsson
Preferred - Rankin would be a welcome addition to the offense.
Likelihood - Not much of a chance Tri Cities loses this one. Walters likely a bubble player, Ericsson likely gets spoken about but won't crack the roster
Portland - Derrick Pouliot, Brendan Leipsic
Kelowna - Damon Severson, Carter Rigby
Pref: Portland's Pouliot and Leipsic would be shoeins.
Likelihood - Kelowna falls to high powered Winterhawks. Severson stands a real shot at cracking the squad, Rigby will get serious consideration as a role player but likely doesn't make the team in the end.
Kamloops - none
Victoria - Brandon Magee, Steven Hodges, Zane Jones
Pref - The choice of 3 vs. 0 makes it easy.
Likelihood - Victoria doesn't stand much of a chance to win this series, Magee, if healthy has earned a great reputation and should make the team, Hodges and Jones would both fit nicely but likely find themselves on the wrong side of the bubble when the team is chosen.
Spokane - none
Vancouver - none
Calgary - Chris Driedger
Brandon - Ryan Pulock, Eric Roy, Tyrell Seaman
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Driedger would be a solid number one or two goaltender but Calgary is favored to win this series. Offensively inclined D men Pulock and underager Roy are a nice consolation to chose from, and big strong power forward Seaman adds a nice dynamic as well. Pulock would be a no brainer to crack the D, Roy and Seaman would likely fall victim to the numbers game, but will get long looks.
Edmonton - Reinhart
Kootenay - Reinhart
Pref - Reinhart
Likelihood - Reinhart...Edmonton should steamroll the Ice and will the elder Reinhart would be a lock to make the team, the very young Sam Reinhart will get debated heavily on whether or not they will bring someone so young on board. Depending on what other forwards are available elsewhere, Reinhart could just crack the squad.
Moose Jaw - Morgan Rielly
Regina - Morgan Klimchuk, Chandler Stephenson
Pref - Rielly
Likelihood - No Rielly even if Regina manages to upset the number 2 seed Warriors as he is still injured. Klimchuk and Stephenson are nice to debate, but have little hope of making the final roster.
Medicine Hat - Hunter Shinkaruk
Saskatoon - Ryan Olsen, Dalton Thrower
Pref - Shinkaruk. Who wouldn't want one of the best offensive players available for next year's NHL draft.
Likelihood - An upset is possible here, but unlikely. Thrower is injured but word is he could be back and would be a welcome addition to this team. Olsen has been up and down but could find himself with consideration in the bottom 3-4 forwards for the team.
OHL
London - Andreas Athanasiou
Windsor - Kerby Rychel, Chris Marchese
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Top seed London rolls on. Kerby Rychel has been one of the most surprising prospects of the season and it all started with his breakout performance in Canada's colors at the Ivan Hlinka. He would be a lock to rejoin the squad. Marchese has been inconsistent but his high energy and physical play could be a welcome addition as well.
Plymouth - Tom Wilson
Guelph - Matt Finn, Scott Kosmachuk
Pref - Guelph
Likelihood - Guelph falls to Plymouth. Finn and Kosmachuk are virtual locks to be named to the team. If Guelph prevails, Wilson also would be a lock.
Kitchener - Matia Marcantuoni
Owen Sound - Gemel Smith, Jarrod Maidens
Pref - Owen Sound
Likelihood - Maidens would be a lock, but since he has barely played all year, safe to assume he is out. Smith's work ethic and small offensive upside are very difficult to match up against and he can really inspire a team with his play. Smith would be a lock. An injury riddled season have left a lot of questions around Marcantuoni.
Sarnia - none
Saginaw - none
Niagra - Jesse Graham
Oshawa - Scott Laughton, Daniel Altshuler
Pref - Oshawa
Likelihood - Oshawa falls to high powered Niagra, Laughton shores up a strong 2nd line for Canada, Altshuler enters the goalie debate. It likely comes down to him, Murray and Tremblay for 2 spots.
Ottawa - Sean Monahan
Belleville - Brenden Gaunce
Pref - Slight lean to Monahan
Likelihood - Canada gets their top line center from this series. Belleville seems poised for a potential upset, Monahan tears up tournament and garners serious hype for next year's draft.
Barrie - Aaron Ekblad
Mississauga - none
Pref - Barrie to fall
Likelihood - Barrie doesn't fall. Ekblad would be a great addition to the backend for Canada and would seize the opportunity, but it doesn't look like it will be this year.
Brampton - none
Sudbury - Matthew Campagna
Pref - Blujus
Likelihood - Campagna's Wolves fall to the Battalion and Campagna finds himself as one of the last players to make the team, or the first not to make the team.
QMJHL
Saint John - none
Cape Breton - William Carrier
Pref - Cape Breton
Likelihood - It would be a moder day miracle if 16th seed Cape Breton took down the reigning Memorial Cup champs. Carrier is one of only a handful of players in the Q who would really have a shot at cracking team Canada as it is. Expect him to be there.
Shawinigan - none
Rouyn-Noranda - Dillon Fournier (injured)
Pref - Fournier
Likelihood - Even with the likelihood that they will fall to the far superior Cataractes, Fournier will have his work cut out for himself to make the Canadian squad, but stranger things have happened.
EDIT - Fournier is out with a shoulder injury and likely isn't able to recover in time to participate.
Blainville-Boisbriand - none
Gatineau - none
Victoriaville - Brandon Whitney
Baie Comeau - Felix Girard
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Baie Comeau falls, Girard still doesn't make the team.
Quebec - none
Drummondville - Dominic Graham
Pref - Graham to improve the goalie pool
Likelihood - It won't matter, Graham, while talented, can't push one of the other names out.
Halifax - Nathan MacKinnon
Moncton - none
Pref - The young superstar in the making
Likelihood - MacKinnon could have made the WJC squad, but it's not likely he will get his shot to suit up for Canada here as the Mooseheads are poised to roll through Moncton.
Rimouski - none
Val d'Or - Anthony Mantha, Matt Murphy
Pref - Val d'Or
Likelihood - Neither Mantha or Murphy are on the radar enough as of yet to earn a spot on Canada, but watch out for both moving forward.
Chicoutimi - Charles Hudon
Acadie Bathurst - Christophe Lalancette
Pref - Hudon to run the offense
Likelihood - Lalancette gets added to the mix as one of the very few Q league players who could actually stand a chance to make the team.
If I had to predict the squad, I imagine it will look something like this:
Forwards
Monahan, Bourke, Smith
Rychel, Laughton, Kosmachuk
Carierre, Winther, Lalancette
Magee, Reinhart, Rigby
Bubble: Troock, Campagna, Hodges
Defense
Dumba, Finn
Pelech, Pulock
Curcuruto, Severson
Thrower - if healthy
Bubble - Morrissey
Goaltenders
Murray, Tremblay
Bubble - Altshuler, Graham
The coaching staff has been named with Jesse Wallin of Red Deer taking the helm, flanked by Todd Gill of Kingston and Gordie Dwyer of the PEI Rocket. Along with the scouting staff of Hockey Canada, they will be charged with putting together the roster who's job it will be to win the U18 Championship for their country.
Canada's roster will be made up of CHL players not playing in the playoffs or whose teams have been eliminated in round 1.
Here are the possibilities:
Eliminated teams
The Locks:
Red Deer Rebels (WHL): Matt Dumba - An almost absolute lock to go in the top 10 of this year's NHL draft, Dumba was the captain of Canada's U18 Team that took home gold at the Ivan Hlinka and should be a lock to wear the C again for Canada this time around. Especially considering his head coach in Red Deer will be running the show this time around.
Erie Otters (OHL): Adam Pelech - A surprise selection for the Ivan Hlinka roster considering Canada's wealth of 94 born defenders, Pelech has improved all year and should be a lock to return to the Red and White.
Sault Saint Marie Greyhounds (OHL): Matt Murray - A standout during the Top Prospect Showcase in Kelowna, Murray is highly regarded with Hockey Canada goaltending consultant and coach, Ron Tugnutt and will have the opportunity to atone for his disapointment in being left off the Ivan Hlinka roster. Even if other goaltenders emerge, Murray can likely only be challenged by Calgary's Chris Driedger, Val d'Or's Tremblay or Oshawa's Altshuler. He's a safe bet to be at least the 2nd goaltender for this squad.
Prince Albert Raiders (WHL): Mike Winther - A speedy forward who has turned heads all season, Winther's game translates well to the International style and he should be a lock to at least crack the 4th line, but could even find himself on a 2nd or 3rd line with potential PP minutes.
Prince George Cougars (WHL): Troy Bourke - A very talented offensive playmaker, Bourke has been thrown to the wolves a bit this year in the WHL but continues to drive forward. He will be highly motivated and ready to play for his country.
The Good Shots
Sault Saint Marie Greyhounds (OHL) - Giancarlo Curcuruto - A very talented and under rated prospect in my opinion, Curcuruto was very close to making the Ivan Hlinka team in the summer and sits with an excellent shot, though not a lock, to make the team this time around.
Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL) - Branden Troock - A gritty and hard working power forward, Troock fits a mould that Hockey Canada loves and he could find himself with a role playing spot when all is said and done, especially after proving his clutch ability in an MVP performance at the CHL Top Prospect Game.
Other Players with Slight Hopes
WHL
Lethbridge - Jay Merkley - Underaged playmaker, well know to those in Calgary.
Prince Albert - Josh Morrissey - Very well rounded underaged defender turning heads out west.
Prince George - Alex Forsberg - Undersized and underaged but a highly touted playmaker.
Prince George - Devon Fordyce - Goaltender with short term competition experience and success.
Red Deer - Bolton Pouliot - Not likely to take a spot, but still a goaltending consideration
Seattle - Connor Honey - Gritty ball of energy who never stops competing.
Swift Current - Coda Gordon - Big numbers on bad team, but cooled as season carried on.
OHL
Kingston - Ryan Kujawinski - Big underage centre is one of Todd Gill's go to guys already.
Peterborough - Nick Ritchie - Underage speedster is primed to be an offensive machine.
Peterborough - Slater Koekoek - Injured, highly unlikely to return, but name should be there as he would be on the team if not for being sidelined.
SS Marie - Darnell Nurse - Big hulking underaged defender, worth at least the conversation.
QMJHL
None to consider at this time
The Playoff Teams
WHL
Tri City - Connor Rankin
Everett - Nick Walters, Jari Ericsson
Preferred - Rankin would be a welcome addition to the offense.
Likelihood - Not much of a chance Tri Cities loses this one. Walters likely a bubble player, Ericsson likely gets spoken about but won't crack the roster
Portland - Derrick Pouliot, Brendan Leipsic
Kelowna - Damon Severson, Carter Rigby
Pref: Portland's Pouliot and Leipsic would be shoeins.
Likelihood - Kelowna falls to high powered Winterhawks. Severson stands a real shot at cracking the squad, Rigby will get serious consideration as a role player but likely doesn't make the team in the end.
Kamloops - none
Victoria - Brandon Magee, Steven Hodges, Zane Jones
Pref - The choice of 3 vs. 0 makes it easy.
Likelihood - Victoria doesn't stand much of a chance to win this series, Magee, if healthy has earned a great reputation and should make the team, Hodges and Jones would both fit nicely but likely find themselves on the wrong side of the bubble when the team is chosen.
Spokane - none
Vancouver - none
Calgary - Chris Driedger
Brandon - Ryan Pulock, Eric Roy, Tyrell Seaman
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Driedger would be a solid number one or two goaltender but Calgary is favored to win this series. Offensively inclined D men Pulock and underager Roy are a nice consolation to chose from, and big strong power forward Seaman adds a nice dynamic as well. Pulock would be a no brainer to crack the D, Roy and Seaman would likely fall victim to the numbers game, but will get long looks.
Edmonton - Reinhart
Kootenay - Reinhart
Pref - Reinhart
Likelihood - Reinhart...Edmonton should steamroll the Ice and will the elder Reinhart would be a lock to make the team, the very young Sam Reinhart will get debated heavily on whether or not they will bring someone so young on board. Depending on what other forwards are available elsewhere, Reinhart could just crack the squad.
Moose Jaw - Morgan Rielly
Regina - Morgan Klimchuk, Chandler Stephenson
Pref - Rielly
Likelihood - No Rielly even if Regina manages to upset the number 2 seed Warriors as he is still injured. Klimchuk and Stephenson are nice to debate, but have little hope of making the final roster.
Medicine Hat - Hunter Shinkaruk
Saskatoon - Ryan Olsen, Dalton Thrower
Pref - Shinkaruk. Who wouldn't want one of the best offensive players available for next year's NHL draft.
Likelihood - An upset is possible here, but unlikely. Thrower is injured but word is he could be back and would be a welcome addition to this team. Olsen has been up and down but could find himself with consideration in the bottom 3-4 forwards for the team.
OHL
London - Andreas Athanasiou
Windsor - Kerby Rychel, Chris Marchese
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Top seed London rolls on. Kerby Rychel has been one of the most surprising prospects of the season and it all started with his breakout performance in Canada's colors at the Ivan Hlinka. He would be a lock to rejoin the squad. Marchese has been inconsistent but his high energy and physical play could be a welcome addition as well.
Plymouth - Tom Wilson
Guelph - Matt Finn, Scott Kosmachuk
Pref - Guelph
Likelihood - Guelph falls to Plymouth. Finn and Kosmachuk are virtual locks to be named to the team. If Guelph prevails, Wilson also would be a lock.
Kitchener - Matia Marcantuoni
Owen Sound - Gemel Smith, Jarrod Maidens
Pref - Owen Sound
Likelihood - Maidens would be a lock, but since he has barely played all year, safe to assume he is out. Smith's work ethic and small offensive upside are very difficult to match up against and he can really inspire a team with his play. Smith would be a lock. An injury riddled season have left a lot of questions around Marcantuoni.
Sarnia - none
Saginaw - none
Niagra - Jesse Graham
Oshawa - Scott Laughton, Daniel Altshuler
Pref - Oshawa
Likelihood - Oshawa falls to high powered Niagra, Laughton shores up a strong 2nd line for Canada, Altshuler enters the goalie debate. It likely comes down to him, Murray and Tremblay for 2 spots.
Ottawa - Sean Monahan
Belleville - Brenden Gaunce
Pref - Slight lean to Monahan
Likelihood - Canada gets their top line center from this series. Belleville seems poised for a potential upset, Monahan tears up tournament and garners serious hype for next year's draft.
Barrie - Aaron Ekblad
Mississauga - none
Pref - Barrie to fall
Likelihood - Barrie doesn't fall. Ekblad would be a great addition to the backend for Canada and would seize the opportunity, but it doesn't look like it will be this year.
Brampton - none
Sudbury - Matthew Campagna
Pref - Blujus
Likelihood - Campagna's Wolves fall to the Battalion and Campagna finds himself as one of the last players to make the team, or the first not to make the team.
QMJHL
Saint John - none
Cape Breton - William Carrier
Pref - Cape Breton
Likelihood - It would be a moder day miracle if 16th seed Cape Breton took down the reigning Memorial Cup champs. Carrier is one of only a handful of players in the Q who would really have a shot at cracking team Canada as it is. Expect him to be there.
Shawinigan - none
Rouyn-Noranda - Dillon Fournier (injured)
Pref - Fournier
Likelihood - Even with the likelihood that they will fall to the far superior Cataractes, Fournier will have his work cut out for himself to make the Canadian squad, but stranger things have happened.
EDIT - Fournier is out with a shoulder injury and likely isn't able to recover in time to participate.
Blainville-Boisbriand - none
Gatineau - none
Victoriaville - Brandon Whitney
Baie Comeau - Felix Girard
Pref - Wash
Likelihood - Baie Comeau falls, Girard still doesn't make the team.
Quebec - none
Drummondville - Dominic Graham
Pref - Graham to improve the goalie pool
Likelihood - It won't matter, Graham, while talented, can't push one of the other names out.
Halifax - Nathan MacKinnon
Moncton - none
Pref - The young superstar in the making
Likelihood - MacKinnon could have made the WJC squad, but it's not likely he will get his shot to suit up for Canada here as the Mooseheads are poised to roll through Moncton.
Rimouski - none
Val d'Or - Anthony Mantha, Matt Murphy
Pref - Val d'Or
Likelihood - Neither Mantha or Murphy are on the radar enough as of yet to earn a spot on Canada, but watch out for both moving forward.
Chicoutimi - Charles Hudon
Acadie Bathurst - Christophe Lalancette
Pref - Hudon to run the offense
Likelihood - Lalancette gets added to the mix as one of the very few Q league players who could actually stand a chance to make the team.
If I had to predict the squad, I imagine it will look something like this:
Forwards
Monahan, Bourke, Smith
Rychel, Laughton, Kosmachuk
Carierre, Winther, Lalancette
Magee, Reinhart, Rigby
Bubble: Troock, Campagna, Hodges
Defense
Dumba, Finn
Pelech, Pulock
Curcuruto, Severson
Thrower - if healthy
Bubble - Morrissey
Goaltenders
Murray, Tremblay
Bubble - Altshuler, Graham
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